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Elecciones·Parciales

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NJ-12

Market icon
Elecciones·Parciales

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NJ-12

Brad Cohen 43%

Susan Altman 17%

Adam Hamawy 6%

Adrian Mapp 4.2%

Polymarket

$16,013 Vol.

Brad Cohen 43%

Susan Altman 17%

Adam Hamawy 6%

Adrian Mapp 4.2%

Polymarket

$16,013 Vol.

Brad Cohen

$0 Vol.

43%

Susan Altman

$14,124 Vol.

19%

Adam Hamawy

$0 Vol.

6%

Adrian Mapp

$0 Vol.

4%

Matthew Adams

$0 Vol.

4%

Elijah Dixon

$0 Vol.

3%

Kyle Little

$0 Vol.

2%

Raymond Heck

$0 Vol.

2%

Michael Anderson

$1,889 Vol.

1%

Tennille R. McCoy

$0 Vol.

1%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson

$0 Vol.

40%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open-seat Democratic primary for New Jersey's 12th congressional district on June 2, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest between East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen at 43% implied probability and Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson at 41.5%, fueled by split county party endorsements—Middlesex Democrats backed Cohen decisively on March 11, while Reynolds-Jackson cleared the field in Mercer on February 26—despite no public polls yet available. Cohen holds a fundraising edge from Q4 reports, though retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman has publicly opposed him over Israel policy differences. Susan Altman trails at 19.5% with pockets of support like Princeton Democrats. Separation could come from forthcoming FEC filings, additional county conventions such as Somerset's recent nod to Shanel Robinson, first polls, or Watson Coleman's potential endorsement amid the 13-candidate field finalized post-March 23 filing deadline.

In the open-seat Democratic primary for New Jersey's 12th congressional district on June 2, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest between East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen at 43% implied probability and Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson at 41.5%, fueled by split county party endorsements—Middlesex Democrats backed Cohen decisively on March 11, while Reynolds-Jackson cleared the field in Mercer on February 26—despite no public polls yet available. Cohen holds a fundraising edge from Q4 reports, though retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman has publicly opposed him over Israel policy differences. Susan Altman trails at 19.5% with pockets of support like Princeton Democrats. Separation could come from forthcoming FEC filings, additional county conventions such as Somerset's recent nod to Shanel Robinson, first polls, or Watson Coleman's potential endorsement amid the 13-candidate field finalized post-March 23 filing deadline.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open-seat Democratic primary for New Jersey's 12th congressional district on June 2, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest between East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen at 43% implied probability and Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson at 41.5%, fueled by split county party endorsements—Middlesex Democrats backed Cohen decisively on March 11, while Reynolds-Jackson cleared the field in Mercer on February 26—despite no public polls yet available. Cohen holds a fundraising edge from Q4 reports, though retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman has publicly opposed him over Israel policy differences. Susan Altman trails at 19.5% with pockets of support like Princeton Democrats. Separation could come from forthcoming FEC filings, additional county conventions such as Somerset's recent nod to Shanel Robinson, first polls, or Watson Coleman's potential endorsement amid the 13-candidate field finalized post-March 23 filing deadline.

In the open-seat Democratic primary for New Jersey's 12th congressional district on June 2, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest between East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen at 43% implied probability and Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson at 41.5%, fueled by split county party endorsements—Middlesex Democrats backed Cohen decisively on March 11, while Reynolds-Jackson cleared the field in Mercer on February 26—despite no public polls yet available. Cohen holds a fundraising edge from Q4 reports, though retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman has publicly opposed him over Israel policy differences. Susan Altman trails at 19.5% with pockets of support like Princeton Democrats. Separation could come from forthcoming FEC filings, additional county conventions such as Somerset's recent nod to Shanel Robinson, first polls, or Watson Coleman's potential endorsement amid the 13-candidate field finalized post-March 23 filing deadline.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NJ-12" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Brad Cohen" con 43%, seguido de "Verlina Reynolds-Jackson" con 40%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 43¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 43% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NJ-12" ha generado $16K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 3, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NJ-12", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NJ-12" es "Brad Cohen" con 43%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 43% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Verlina Reynolds-Jackson" con 40%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NJ-12" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.