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¿Próximo primer ministro del Reino Unido en 2026?

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¿Próximo primer ministro del Reino Unido en 2026?

Ningún próximo PM en 2026 33%

Ed Miliband 19.6%

Angela Rayner 19%

Nigel Farage 7.6%

Polymarket

$785,440 Vol.

Ningún próximo PM en 2026 33%

Ed Miliband 19.6%

Angela Rayner 19%

Nigel Farage 7.6%

Polymarket

$785,440 Vol.

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Ningún próximo PM en 2026

$102,655 Vol.

33%

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Ed Miliband

$120,489 Vol.

20%

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Angela Rayner

$65,497 Vol.

19%

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Nigel Farage

$112,519 Vol.

8%

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Wes Streeting

$51,294 Vol.

7%

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Rupert Lowe

$191,684 Vol.

5%

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Rachel Reeves

$79,827 Vol.

4%

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Andy Burnham

$0 Vol.

3%

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Lucy Powell

$0 Vol.

1%

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Shabana Mahmood

$61,476 Vol.

1%

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Al Carns

$0 Vol.

1%

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Yvette Cooper

$0 Vol.

1%

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Darren Jones

$0 Vol.

1%

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Kemi Badenoch

$0 Vol.

<1%

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David Lammy

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Boris Johnson

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Ed Davey

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Bridget Phillipson

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Robert Jenrick

$0 Vol.

<1%

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James Cleverly

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$785,440
Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"¿Próximo primer ministro del Reino Unido en 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ningún próximo PM en 2026" at 33%, followed by "Ed Miliband" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "¿Próximo primer ministro del Reino Unido en 2026?" has generated $785.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "¿Próximo primer ministro del Reino Unido en 2026?," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "¿Próximo primer ministro del Reino Unido en 2026?" is "Ningún próximo PM en 2026" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ed Miliband" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "¿Próximo primer ministro del Reino Unido en 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.