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Política·Elecciones Globales

¿Porcentaje de votos de Luís Marques Mendes en la primera ronda de las presidenciales portuguesas?

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Política·Elecciones Globales

¿Porcentaje de votos de Luís Marques Mendes en la primera ronda de las presidenciales portuguesas?

<16% 100.0%

16%-18% <1%

18%-20% <1%

20%-22% <1%

Polymarket

$122,091 Vol.

<16% 100.0%

16%-18% <1%

18%-20% <1%

20%-22% <1%

Polymarket

$122,091 Vol.

<16%

$38,199 Vol.

Sí

16%-18%

$12,995 Vol.

No

18%-20%

$19,636 Vol.

No

20%-22%

$5,921 Vol.

No

22%-24%

$9,279 Vol.

No

24%-26%

$6,259 Vol.

No

>26%

$29,803 Vol.

No

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on January 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the vote share Luís Marques Mendes wins in the first round of the Portuguese presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by Luís Marques Mendes. If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on January 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the vote share Luís Marques Mendes wins in the first round of the Portuguese presidential election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by Luís Marques Mendes.

If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volumen
$122,091
Fecha de finalización
18 ene 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 31, 2025, 12:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on January 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the vote share Luís Marques Mendes wins in the first round of the Portuguese presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by Luís Marques Mendes. If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Sí

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on January 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the vote share Luís Marques Mendes wins in the first round of the Portuguese presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by Luís Marques Mendes. If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on January 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the vote share Luís Marques Mendes wins in the first round of the Portuguese presidential election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by Luís Marques Mendes.

If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volumen
$122,091
Fecha de finalización
18 ene 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 31, 2025, 12:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on January 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the vote share Luís Marques Mendes wins in the first round of the Portuguese presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by Luís Marques Mendes. If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Porcentaje de votos de Luís Marques Mendes en la primera ronda de las presidenciales portuguesas?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<16%" con 100%, seguido de "16%-18%" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Porcentaje de votos de Luís Marques Mendes en la primera ronda de las presidenciales portuguesas?" ha generado $122.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 31, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Porcentaje de votos de Luís Marques Mendes en la primera ronda de las presidenciales portuguesas?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Porcentaje de votos de Luís Marques Mendes en la primera ronda de las presidenciales portuguesas?" es "<16%" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "16%-18%" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Porcentaje de votos de Luís Marques Mendes en la primera ronda de las presidenciales portuguesas?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.