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Política·Primarias

KY-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

Market icon
Política·Primarias

KY-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

Ralph Alvarado 43%

Ryan Dotson 42.4%

Adam Perez Arquette 22.0%

Greg Plucinski 4%

Polymarket
NEW

Ralph Alvarado 43%

Ryan Dotson 42.4%

Adam Perez Arquette 22.0%

Greg Plucinski 4%

Polymarket
NEW

Ralph Alvarado

$0 Vol.

43%

Ryan Dotson

$7,590 Vol.

42%

Adam Perez Arquette

$0 Vol.

19%

Greg Plucinski

$0 Vol.

4%

Gavin Solomon

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Kentucky's 6th Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, trader consensus shows a tight contest with former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado at 42.5% and state Rep. Ryan Dotson at 37.1%, reflecting their shared conservative platforms and full alignment with President Trump's agenda highlighted in their February 27 debate, which drew few sharp contrasts. Alvarado's launch of the race's first TV ad buy on March 25 has provided a slight edge amid the open seat vacated by Rep. Andy Barr's Senate bid, while lower-tier candidates like Adam Perez Arquette split minimal support. Separation could emerge from upcoming FEC fundraising reports, major endorsements, additional debates, or internal GOP dynamics in this solidly red district, where turnout and battleground precincts will prove decisive.

In Kentucky's 6th Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, trader consensus shows a tight contest with former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado at 42.5% and state Rep. Ryan Dotson at 37.1%, reflecting their shared conservative platforms and full alignment with President Trump's agenda highlighted in their February 27 debate, which drew few sharp contrasts. Alvarado's launch of the race's first TV ad buy on March 25 has provided a slight edge amid the open seat vacated by Rep. Andy Barr's Senate bid, while lower-tier candidates like Adam Perez Arquette split minimal support. Separation could emerge from upcoming FEC fundraising reports, major endorsements, additional debates, or internal GOP dynamics in this solidly red district, where turnout and battleground precincts will prove decisive.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Kentucky's 6th Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, trader consensus shows a tight contest with former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado at 42.5% and state Rep. Ryan Dotson at 37.1%, reflecting their shared conservative platforms and full alignment with President Trump's agenda highlighted in their February 27 debate, which drew few sharp contrasts. Alvarado's launch of the race's first TV ad buy on March 25 has provided a slight edge amid the open seat vacated by Rep. Andy Barr's Senate bid, while lower-tier candidates like Adam Perez Arquette split minimal support. Separation could emerge from upcoming FEC fundraising reports, major endorsements, additional debates, or internal GOP dynamics in this solidly red district, where turnout and battleground precincts will prove decisive.

In Kentucky's 6th Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, trader consensus shows a tight contest with former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado at 42.5% and state Rep. Ryan Dotson at 37.1%, reflecting their shared conservative platforms and full alignment with President Trump's agenda highlighted in their February 27 debate, which drew few sharp contrasts. Alvarado's launch of the race's first TV ad buy on March 25 has provided a slight edge amid the open seat vacated by Rep. Andy Barr's Senate bid, while lower-tier candidates like Adam Perez Arquette split minimal support. Separation could emerge from upcoming FEC fundraising reports, major endorsements, additional debates, or internal GOP dynamics in this solidly red district, where turnout and battleground precincts will prove decisive.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"KY-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Ralph Alvarado" con 43%, seguido de "Ryan Dotson" con 42%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 43¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 43% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"KY-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Dec 18, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "KY-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "KY-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es "Ralph Alvarado" con 43%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 43% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ryan Dotson" con 42%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "KY-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.