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Política·Grecia

How late will Trump be to the Greek Independence Day event?

Market icon
Política·Grecia

How late will Trump be to the Greek Independence Day event?

20 - 25 minutes 100.0%

<20 minutos <1%

25 - 30 minutes <1%

30 - 35 minutes <1%

Polymarket

$52,780 Vol.

20 - 25 minutes 100.0%

<20 minutos <1%

25 - 30 minutes <1%

30 - 35 minutes <1%

Polymarket

$52,780 Vol.

<20 minutos

$19,934 Vol.

No

20 - 25 minutes

$901 Vol.

Yes

25 - 30 minutes

$16,476 Vol.

No

30 - 35 minutes

$205 Vol.

No

35 - 40 minutes

$14,264 Vol.

No

40+ minutes

$1,000 Vol.

No

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Greek Independence Day celebration on March 26, 2026, 4PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Donald Trump begins speaking at his scheduled appearance at the Greek Independence Day celebration. This market will resolve based on when Donald Trump begins speaking. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Greek Independence Day event scheduled for March 26, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If no qualifying event occurs by March 26, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be streamed footage of the relevant event from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)Trader consensus assigns a commanding 92.5% implied probability to former President Trump arriving 20-25 minutes late to the Greek Independence Day event, driven by his longstanding pattern of moderate delays at public appearances, including recent campaign rallies and past official receptions where extended speeches or preparations routinely cause 15-30 minute overruns. This skin-in-the-game assessment draws on historical base rates from Trump's schedule management, with no major developments in the past week—such as announcements on event logistics or preceding commitments—altering the positioning. Realistic challenges could arise from unusually streamlined transitions or early wrap-ups, potentially landing under 20 minutes, or prolonged prior engagements pushing into 30+ minutes amid traffic or security protocols.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Greek Independence Day celebration on March 26, 2026, 4PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Donald Trump begins speaking at his scheduled appearance at the Greek Independence Day celebration. This market will resolve based on when Donald Trump begins speaking.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Greek Independence Day event scheduled for March 26, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

If no qualifying event occurs by March 26, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be streamed footage of the relevant event from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
Volumen
$52,780
Fecha de finalización
Mar 26, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 26, 2026, 10:37 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Greek Independence Day celebration on March 26, 2026, 4PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Donald Trump begins speaking at his scheduled appearance at the Greek Independence Day celebration. This market will resolve based on when Donald Trump begins speaking. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Greek Independence Day event scheduled for March 26, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If no qualifying event occurs by March 26, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be streamed footage of the relevant event from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)Trader consensus assigns a commanding 92.5% implied probability to former President Trump arriving 20-25 minutes late to the Greek Independence Day event, driven by his longstanding pattern of moderate delays at public appearances, including recent campaign rallies and past official receptions where extended speeches or preparations routinely cause 15-30 minute overruns. This skin-in-the-game assessment draws on historical base rates from Trump's schedule management, with no major developments in the past week—such as announcements on event logistics or preceding commitments—altering the positioning. Realistic challenges could arise from unusually streamlined transitions or early wrap-ups, potentially landing under 20 minutes, or prolonged prior engagements pushing into 30+ minutes amid traffic or security protocols.

Trader consensus assigns a commanding 92.5% implied probability to former President Trump arriving 20-25 minutes late to the Greek Independence Day event, driven by his longstanding pattern of moderate delays at public appearances, including recent campaign rallies and past official receptions where extended speeches or preparations routinely cause 15-30 minute overruns. This skin-in-the-game assessment draws on historical base rates from Trump's schedule management, with no major developments in the past week—such as announcements on event logistics or preceding commitments—altering the positioning. Realistic challenges could arise from unusually streamlined transitions or early wrap-ups, potentially landing under 20 minutes, or prolonged prior engagements pushing into 30+ minutes amid traffic or security protocols.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"How late will Trump be to the Greek Independence Day event?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "20 - 25 minutes" con 100%, seguido de "<20 minutos" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "How late will Trump be to the Greek Independence Day event?" ha generado $52.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 26, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "How late will Trump be to the Greek Independence Day event?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "How late will Trump be to the Greek Independence Day event?" es "20 - 25 minutes" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "<20 minutos" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "How late will Trump be to the Greek Independence Day event?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.