Trader consensus favors 33°C at 39.5% implied probability, edging out 32°C at 31%, driven by the latest ensemble model forecasts from global systems like ECMWF and GFS, which project peak afternoon temperatures of 32-33°C at Changi Airport station amid Singapore's equatorial heat. Differentiating factors include variable sea breeze timing and isolated thundery showers during the inter-monsoon transition, potentially capping highs at 32°C via evaporative cooling, while persistent low cloud cover scarcity and urban heat island effects push toward 33°C. Historical March averages hover at 31.5°C, but recent days exceeded 34°C under fading El Niño influences, heightening uncertainty as real-time observations unfold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
33°C 40%
32°C 31%
34°C 16%
31°C 8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
31%
33°C
40%
34°C
16%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
2%
33°C 40%
32°C 31%
34°C 16%
31°C 8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
31%
33°C
40%
34°C
16%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 33°C at 39.5% implied probability, edging out 32°C at 31%, driven by the latest ensemble model forecasts from global systems like ECMWF and GFS, which project peak afternoon temperatures of 32-33°C at Changi Airport station amid Singapore's equatorial heat. Differentiating factors include variable sea breeze timing and isolated thundery showers during the inter-monsoon transition, potentially capping highs at 32°C via evaporative cooling, while persistent low cloud cover scarcity and urban heat island effects push toward 33°C. Historical March averages hover at 31.5°C, but recent days exceeded 34°C under fading El Niño influences, heightening uncertainty as real-time observations unfold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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