Trader consensus heavily favors a Paris high of 13°C on March 25, driven by the latest ECMWF and Météo-France ensemble forecasts showing a precise peak under cool northerly airflow and scattered clouds, with model runs converging tightly on 12-13°C since early last week. Official station data from Paris-Charles de Gaulle typically aligns with these projections, matching historical March averages of 11-13°C amid current La Niña-influenced patterns. This positioning is robust given low diurnal variability and stable upper-air patterns, but a realistic challenge could arise from an unexpected southerly wind shift or enhanced urban heat island effects, potentially nudging the verified maximum to 14°C as seen in 10% of similar setups.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on March 25?
Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?
13°C 98.8%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
17°C or higher <1%
$189,263 Vol.
$189,263 Vol.
13°C
99%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 98.8%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
17°C or higher <1%
$189,263 Vol.
$189,263 Vol.
13°C
99%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 21, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a Paris high of 13°C on March 25, driven by the latest ECMWF and Météo-France ensemble forecasts showing a precise peak under cool northerly airflow and scattered clouds, with model runs converging tightly on 12-13°C since early last week. Official station data from Paris-Charles de Gaulle typically aligns with these projections, matching historical March averages of 11-13°C amid current La Niña-influenced patterns. This positioning is robust given low diurnal variability and stable upper-air patterns, but a realistic challenge could arise from an unexpected southerly wind shift or enhanced urban heat island effects, potentially nudging the verified maximum to 14°C as seen in 10% of similar setups.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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