National Weather Service forecasts and major models like GFS and ECMWF project a high temperature of 70-71°F in Los Angeles on March 26, driven by persistent onshore flow and a deep marine layer capping daytime heating under a temperature inversion. This aligns with climatological norms for late March, where average highs hover around 68-70°F amid cool Pacific sea surface temperatures near 60°F. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this tight model agreement and recent observations showing cloudy skies and high humidity suppressing solar insolation. Realistic challenges include abrupt clearing before sunset allowing adiabatic warming, though upper-level troughing makes hotter outcomes unlikely; final hourly data from official stations will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 26?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 26?
70-71°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$99,409 Vol.
$99,409 Vol.
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$99,409 Vol.
$99,409 Vol.
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
National Weather Service forecasts and major models like GFS and ECMWF project a high temperature of 70-71°F in Los Angeles on March 26, driven by persistent onshore flow and a deep marine layer capping daytime heating under a temperature inversion. This aligns with climatological norms for late March, where average highs hover around 68-70°F amid cool Pacific sea surface temperatures near 60°F. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this tight model agreement and recent observations showing cloudy skies and high humidity suppressing solar insolation. Realistic challenges include abrupt clearing before sunset allowing adiabatic warming, though upper-level troughing makes hotter outcomes unlikely; final hourly data from official stations will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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