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Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?

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Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Apr 1

Mar 28

Mar 29

Apr 1

15°C 32%

12°C 29%

14°C 24%

10°C 17%

Polymarket
NEW

15°C 32%

12°C 29%

14°C 24%

10°C 17%

Polymarket
NEW

7°C or below

$115 Vol.

1%

8°C

$210 Vol.

7%

9°C

$120 Vol.

6%

10°C

$227 Vol.

17%

11°C

$10 Vol.

8%

12°C

$38 Vol.

29%

13°C

$10 Vol.

7%

14°C

$27 Vol.

24%

15°C

$42 Vol.

32%

16°C

$10 Vol.

14%

17°C or higher

$10 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Ankara's highest temperature on April 1, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 11–17°C due to ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF models projecting highs near 14–15°C amid recovering conditions post recent late-season snowstorms. A cold outbreak brought 4–10 cm snow to central Turkey after prior highs of 10–12°C, introducing cloudiness and shower risks that could cap peaks at 13–15°C, while sunnier breaks or warmer air advection might push toward 17°C. Early April climatological normals hover at 15–16°C, but chaotic spring synoptics amplify variability; watch daily model updates and Turkish State Meteorological Service advisories for resolution shifts based on observed temperature at official Ankara stations.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Ankara's highest temperature on April 1, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 11–17°C due to ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF models projecting highs near 14–15°C amid recovering conditions post recent late-season snowstorms. A cold outbreak brought 4–10 cm snow to central Turkey after prior highs of 10–12°C, introducing cloudiness and shower risks that could cap peaks at 13–15°C, while sunnier breaks or warmer air advection might push toward 17°C. Early April climatological normals hover at 15–16°C, but chaotic spring synoptics amplify variability; watch daily model updates and Turkish State Meteorological Service advisories for resolution shifts based on observed temperature at official Ankara stations.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Ankara's highest temperature on April 1, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 11–17°C due to ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF models projecting highs near 14–15°C amid recovering conditions post recent late-season snowstorms. A cold outbreak brought 4–10 cm snow to central Turkey after prior highs of 10–12°C, introducing cloudiness and shower risks that could cap peaks at 13–15°C, while sunnier breaks or warmer air advection might push toward 17°C. Early April climatological normals hover at 15–16°C, but chaotic spring synoptics amplify variability; watch daily model updates and Turkish State Meteorological Service advisories for resolution shifts based on observed temperature at official Ankara stations.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Ankara's highest temperature on April 1, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 11–17°C due to ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF models projecting highs near 14–15°C amid recovering conditions post recent late-season snowstorms. A cold outbreak brought 4–10 cm snow to central Turkey after prior highs of 10–12°C, introducing cloudiness and shower risks that could cap peaks at 13–15°C, while sunnier breaks or warmer air advection might push toward 17°C. Early April climatological normals hover at 15–16°C, but chaotic spring synoptics amplify variability; watch daily model updates and Turkish State Meteorological Service advisories for resolution shifts based on observed temperature at official Ankara stations.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "15°C" con 32%, seguido de "12°C" con 29%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 32¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 32% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 28, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?" es "15°C" con 32%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 32% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "12°C" con 29%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.