Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature on March 29, with models clustering around 21–24°C amid mild spring conditions in central China. Latest runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project daytime highs near 22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds fostering gradual warming from morning lows around 15°C. Differentiating factors include potential for increased cloud cover suppressing peaks toward 21°C or clearer intervals allowing 23–24°C; historical March 29 averages sit at 18–20°C, but this year's neutral ENSO phase and positive temperature anomalies have boosted expectations. New observational data through afternoon hours will sharpen resolution, as surface measurements dictate the official high.