Latest China Meteorological Administration and international model ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS, project Chongqing's highest temperature on March 29 clustering tightly around 19-21°C, mirroring trader consensus with those outcomes at 18.5-20.0% implied probabilities. This reflects recent stabilization after a mid-week cold air intrusion suppressed highs to 16-18°C, now yielding to southerly winds and clearer skies fostering mild recovery amid typical late-March variability in the Yangtze River basin. Urban heat island effects and afternoon convective potential introduce uncertainty differentiating exact integers, with historical March norms at 18-20°C providing context. Final pre-resolution updates from CMA are due within 24 hours, potentially sharpening the spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 29?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 29?
19°C 22%
20°C 19%
21°C 19%
18°C 14%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
7%
17°C
6%
18°C
14%
19°C
22%
20°C
19%
21°C
19%
22°C
6%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
2%
19°C 22%
20°C 19%
21°C 19%
18°C 14%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
7%
17°C
6%
18°C
14%
19°C
22%
20°C
19%
21°C
19%
22°C
6%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:42 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration and international model ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS, project Chongqing's highest temperature on March 29 clustering tightly around 19-21°C, mirroring trader consensus with those outcomes at 18.5-20.0% implied probabilities. This reflects recent stabilization after a mid-week cold air intrusion suppressed highs to 16-18°C, now yielding to southerly winds and clearer skies fostering mild recovery amid typical late-March variability in the Yangtze River basin. Urban heat island effects and afternoon convective potential introduce uncertainty differentiating exact integers, with historical March norms at 18-20°C providing context. Final pre-resolution updates from CMA are due within 24 hours, potentially sharpening the spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes