Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a high likelihood of Wellington's March 28 maximum temperature falling between 19–21°C, with 21°C leading at 34% amid closely contested odds for 20°C (28%) and 19°C (20.5%), reflecting inherent forecast uncertainty from New Zealand's MetService models. Latest guidance shows a high of 20–22°C under a mix of clearing skies and light southerlies after morning cloud, but ensemble models diverge due to coastal influences like sea breezes suppressing peaks and variable upper-air patterns. March autumn norms average 19–21°C, with recent observations confirming stable but fluctuating conditions; watch tomorrow's 120-hour forecast update for potential refinements as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on March 28?
Highest temperature in Wellington on March 28?
21°C 34%
20°C 28%
19°C 21%
22°C 8%
$107,317 Vol.
$107,317 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
21%
20°C
28%
21°C
34%
22°C
8%
23°C or higher
4%
21°C 34%
20°C 28%
19°C 21%
22°C 8%
$107,317 Vol.
$107,317 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
21%
20°C
28%
21°C
34%
22°C
8%
23°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a high likelihood of Wellington's March 28 maximum temperature falling between 19–21°C, with 21°C leading at 34% amid closely contested odds for 20°C (28%) and 19°C (20.5%), reflecting inherent forecast uncertainty from New Zealand's MetService models. Latest guidance shows a high of 20–22°C under a mix of clearing skies and light southerlies after morning cloud, but ensemble models diverge due to coastal influences like sea breezes suppressing peaks and variable upper-air patterns. March autumn norms average 19–21°C, with recent observations confirming stable but fluctuating conditions; watch tomorrow's 120-hour forecast update for potential refinements as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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