Trader sentiment on Taipei's highest temperature March 29 is split nearly evenly between cool (22°C or below at 25.5%) and hot (32°C or higher at 24.5%) extremes, driven by conflicting short-range forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS. A potential cold front early on could suppress peaks via cloud cover and gusty winds, capping readings near 22°C, while delayed frontal passage or subtropical ridging might enable adiabatic warming and urban heat island amplification to 32°C+. March climatology averages 23-27°C, but model ensemble spread—widened by jet stream waviness and residual El Niño influences—fuels the tight odds across mid-range outcomes like 25-26°C. Watch CWA updates at 0500 UTC for frontal timing shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
22°C or below 26%
32°C or higher 25%
23°C 17%
24°C 17%
22°C or below
26%
23°C
17%
24°C
17%
25°C
17%
26°C
16%
27°C
16%
28°C
16%
29°C
15%
30°C
13%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
25%
22°C or below 26%
32°C or higher 25%
23°C 17%
24°C 17%
22°C or below
26%
23°C
17%
24°C
17%
25°C
17%
26°C
16%
27°C
16%
28°C
16%
29°C
15%
30°C
13%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Taipei's highest temperature March 29 is split nearly evenly between cool (22°C or below at 25.5%) and hot (32°C or higher at 24.5%) extremes, driven by conflicting short-range forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS. A potential cold front early on could suppress peaks via cloud cover and gusty winds, capping readings near 22°C, while delayed frontal passage or subtropical ridging might enable adiabatic warming and urban heat island amplification to 32°C+. March climatology averages 23-27°C, but model ensemble spread—widened by jet stream waviness and residual El Niño influences—fuels the tight odds across mid-range outcomes like 25-26°C. Watch CWA updates at 0500 UTC for frontal timing shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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