MetService's latest forecast models for Wellington on March 29 indicate a high temperature clustering around 18–20°C, with ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS showing slight divergence due to variable southerly winds and partial cloud cover moderating daytime heating. This tight trader consensus reflects short-range forecast uncertainty typical 24–48 hours out, where small shifts in upper-level trough positioning could nudge the peak by 1–2°C. Historical March averages hover near 20°C, but recent cool spells from Antarctic air masses have tempered expectations, pricing 19°C and 20°C as marginal favorites. Watch for the 0600 NZST update tomorrow, as observed soundings and satellite data refine the outlook ahead of official airport measurements resolving the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on March 29?
Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?
20°C 24%
18°C 24%
19°C 22%
16°C 9%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
7%
16°C
9%
17°C
14%
18°C
24%
19°C
26%
20°C
24%
21°C
13%
22°C
6%
23°C or higher
7%
20°C 24%
18°C 24%
19°C 22%
16°C 9%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
7%
16°C
9%
17°C
14%
18°C
24%
19°C
26%
20°C
24%
21°C
13%
22°C
6%
23°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast models for Wellington on March 29 indicate a high temperature clustering around 18–20°C, with ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS showing slight divergence due to variable southerly winds and partial cloud cover moderating daytime heating. This tight trader consensus reflects short-range forecast uncertainty typical 24–48 hours out, where small shifts in upper-level trough positioning could nudge the peak by 1–2°C. Historical March averages hover near 20°C, but recent cool spells from Antarctic air masses have tempered expectations, pricing 19°C and 20°C as marginal favorites. Watch for the 0600 NZST update tomorrow, as observed soundings and satellite data refine the outlook ahead of official airport measurements resolving the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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