Tight clustering in latest Met Office and ECMWF forecast ensembles around 10-12°C has driven the razor-thin odds for London's highest temperature on March 28, with 11°C (28%), 10°C (27%), and 12°C (21%) leading as traders weigh subtle model divergences. Mild southerly flows from Atlantic high pressure dominate, but differentiating factors include variable low cloud cover potentially capping peaks at 10°C versus clearer skies boosting to 12°C, per ensemble spreads. Historical Heathrow data shows March 28 averages 11.5°C, with recent runs trimming earlier 13°C outliers amid cooler boundary layer stability. Key watch: 12Z model refresh for frontal timing shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 28 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 28 de marzo?
10°C 29%
11°C 29%
12°C 21%
9°C 14%
6°C o menos
2%
7°C
2%
8°C
4%
9°C
14%
10°C
29%
11°C
29%
12°C
21%
13°C
7%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C o más
2%
10°C 29%
11°C 29%
12°C 21%
9°C 14%
6°C o menos
2%
7°C
2%
8°C
4%
9°C
14%
10°C
29%
11°C
29%
12°C
21%
13°C
7%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C o más
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tight clustering in latest Met Office and ECMWF forecast ensembles around 10-12°C has driven the razor-thin odds for London's highest temperature on March 28, with 11°C (28%), 10°C (27%), and 12°C (21%) leading as traders weigh subtle model divergences. Mild southerly flows from Atlantic high pressure dominate, but differentiating factors include variable low cloud cover potentially capping peaks at 10°C versus clearer skies boosting to 12°C, per ensemble spreads. Historical Heathrow data shows March 28 averages 11.5°C, with recent runs trimming earlier 13°C outliers amid cooler boundary layer stability. Key watch: 12Z model refresh for frontal timing shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes