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Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 1?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 1?

Apr 1

Apr 1

23°C 20%

24°C 16%

22°C 13.0%

19°C 6%

Polymarket
NEW

23°C 20%

24°C 16%

22°C 13.0%

19°C 6%

Polymarket
NEW

18°C o menos

$141 Vol.

4%

19°C

$10 Vol.

6%

20°C

$10 Vol.

9%

21°C

$82 Vol.

2%

22°C

$492 Vol.

13%

23°C

$1,190 Vol.

20%

24°C

$197 Vol.

16%

25°C

$142 Vol.

13%

26°C

$54 Vol.

11%

27°C

$10 Vol.

9%

28°C o más

$5 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast ensembles from global models like the GFS and ECMWF, alongside Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), indicate trader-implied highs clustering around 23°C for Mexico City on April 1, reflecting a modest cooldown from the late March heatwave that pushed recent highs to 28°C amid a persistent upper-level ridge 17–22°C above average. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's baseline lapse rate and dry-season stability favor mid-20s peaks historically (average 26°C), but uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover, light southerly winds, and the trailing effects of an incoming polar air mass, creating spread across 21–26°C outcomes. New model runs every 6–12 hours and SMN briefings through March 31 will likely sharpen this consensus ahead of official airport observations resolving the market.

Latest forecast ensembles from global models like the GFS and ECMWF, alongside Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), indicate trader-implied highs clustering around 23°C for Mexico City on April 1, reflecting a modest cooldown from the late March heatwave that pushed recent highs to 28°C amid a persistent upper-level ridge 17–22°C above average. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's baseline lapse rate and dry-season stability favor mid-20s peaks historically (average 26°C), but uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover, light southerly winds, and the trailing effects of an incoming polar air mass, creating spread across 21–26°C outcomes. New model runs every 6–12 hours and SMN briefings through March 31 will likely sharpen this consensus ahead of official airport observations resolving the market.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast ensembles from global models like the GFS and ECMWF, alongside Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), indicate trader-implied highs clustering around 23°C for Mexico City on April 1, reflecting a modest cooldown from the late March heatwave that pushed recent highs to 28°C amid a persistent upper-level ridge 17–22°C above average. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's baseline lapse rate and dry-season stability favor mid-20s peaks historically (average 26°C), but uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover, light southerly winds, and the trailing effects of an incoming polar air mass, creating spread across 21–26°C outcomes. New model runs every 6–12 hours and SMN briefings through March 31 will likely sharpen this consensus ahead of official airport observations resolving the market.

Latest forecast ensembles from global models like the GFS and ECMWF, alongside Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), indicate trader-implied highs clustering around 23°C for Mexico City on April 1, reflecting a modest cooldown from the late March heatwave that pushed recent highs to 28°C amid a persistent upper-level ridge 17–22°C above average. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's baseline lapse rate and dry-season stability favor mid-20s peaks historically (average 26°C), but uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover, light southerly winds, and the trailing effects of an incoming polar air mass, creating spread across 21–26°C outcomes. New model runs every 6–12 hours and SMN briefings through March 31 will likely sharpen this consensus ahead of official airport observations resolving the market.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 1?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "23°C" con 20%, seguido de "24°C" con 16%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 20¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 20% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 1?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 28, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 1?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 1?" es "23°C" con 20%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 20% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "24°C" con 16%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 1?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.