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¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 29 de marzo?

Market icon

¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 29 de marzo?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

82-83°F 45%

80-81°F 32%

84-85°F 20%

78-79°F 3.5%

Polymarket

$17,185 Vol.

82-83°F 45%

80-81°F 32%

84-85°F 20%

78-79°F 3.5%

Polymarket

$17,185 Vol.

73°F o menos

$2,195 Vol.

1%

74-75°F

$1,811 Vol.

1%

76-77°F

$1,429 Vol.

2%

78-79°F

$1,129 Vol.

3%

80-81°F

$1,429 Vol.

32%

82-83°F

$1,344 Vol.

45%

84-85°F

$1,446 Vol.

20%

86-87°F

$788 Vol.

2%

88-89°F

$2,148 Vol.

1%

90-91°F

$1,538 Vol.

<1%

92°F o más

$1,929 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 82°F at Houston Hobby Airport today under mostly sunny skies and light winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 82-83°F (44.5% implied probability) and 80-81°F (32.5%). This positioning stems from a building high-pressure ridge over Texas following a cold front and gusty winds around March 16 that temporarily cooled the region after early-month heavy rains; recent days have seen highs in the low-to-mid 80s amid above-normal spring warmth. Model ensembles like GFS show tight agreement around 81-83°F, though sea breeze effects could cap coastal peaks slightly lower, with resolution hinging on mid-afternoon observations amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.

National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 82°F at Houston Hobby Airport today under mostly sunny skies and light winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 82-83°F (44.5% implied probability) and 80-81°F (32.5%). This positioning stems from a building high-pressure ridge over Texas following a cold front and gusty winds around March 16 that temporarily cooled the region after early-month heavy rains; recent days have seen highs in the low-to-mid 80s amid above-normal spring warmth. Model ensembles like GFS show tight agreement around 81-83°F, though sea breeze effects could cap coastal peaks slightly lower, with resolution hinging on mid-afternoon observations amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 82°F at Houston Hobby Airport today under mostly sunny skies and light winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 82-83°F (44.5% implied probability) and 80-81°F (32.5%). This positioning stems from a building high-pressure ridge over Texas following a cold front and gusty winds around March 16 that temporarily cooled the region after early-month heavy rains; recent days have seen highs in the low-to-mid 80s amid above-normal spring warmth. Model ensembles like GFS show tight agreement around 81-83°F, though sea breeze effects could cap coastal peaks slightly lower, with resolution hinging on mid-afternoon observations amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.

National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 82°F at Houston Hobby Airport today under mostly sunny skies and light winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 82-83°F (44.5% implied probability) and 80-81°F (32.5%). This positioning stems from a building high-pressure ridge over Texas following a cold front and gusty winds around March 16 that temporarily cooled the region after early-month heavy rains; recent days have seen highs in the low-to-mid 80s amid above-normal spring warmth. Model ensembles like GFS show tight agreement around 81-83°F, though sea breeze effects could cap coastal peaks slightly lower, with resolution hinging on mid-afternoon observations amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 29 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "82-83°F" con 45%, seguido de "80-81°F" con 32%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 29 de marzo?" ha generado $17.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 29 de marzo?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 29 de marzo?" es "82-83°F" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "80-81°F" con 32%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 29 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.