ECB Governing Council decisions in April and March 2026 to hold key interest rates steady at 2.00% for the deposit facility reflect heightened upside risks to inflation from energy price surges tied to the Iran conflict and Middle East tensions, prompting upward revisions to 2026 inflation forecasts to 2.6%. ECB President Lagarde emphasized data-dependent policy without pre-committing to cuts, amid downside growth risks but persistent price pressures above the 2% target. Recent analyst shifts, including Morgan Stanley scrapping prior cut predictions and Bloomberg surveys anticipating potential hikes in June and September, underpin trader consensus implying an 88% probability of no rate cut in 2026, with the next policy meeting looming as a key catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$27,913 Vol.
$27,913 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$27,913 Vol.
$27,913 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.ECB Governing Council decisions in April and March 2026 to hold key interest rates steady at 2.00% for the deposit facility reflect heightened upside risks to inflation from energy price surges tied to the Iran conflict and Middle East tensions, prompting upward revisions to 2026 inflation forecasts to 2.6%. ECB President Lagarde emphasized data-dependent policy without pre-committing to cuts, amid downside growth risks but persistent price pressures above the 2% target. Recent analyst shifts, including Morgan Stanley scrapping prior cut predictions and Bloomberg surveys anticipating potential hikes in June and September, underpin trader consensus implying an 88% probability of no rate cut in 2026, with the next policy meeting looming as a key catalyst.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
Volumen
$27,913Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.ECB Governing Council decisions in April and March 2026 to hold key interest rates steady at 2.00% for the deposit facility reflect heightened upside risks to inflation from energy price surges tied to the Iran conflict and Middle East tensions, prompting upward revisions to 2026 inflation forecasts to 2.6%. ECB President Lagarde emphasized data-dependent policy without pre-committing to cuts, amid downside growth risks but persistent price pressures above the 2% target. Recent analyst shifts, including Morgan Stanley scrapping prior cut predictions and Bloomberg surveys anticipating potential hikes in June and September, underpin trader consensus implying an 88% probability of no rate cut in 2026, with the next policy meeting looming as a key catalyst.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$27,913Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...ECB Governing Council decisions in April and March 2026 to hold key interest rates steady at 2.00% for the deposit facility reflect heightened upside risks to inflation from energy price surges tied to the Iran conflict and Middle East tensions, prompting upward revisions to 2026 inflation forecasts to 2.6%. ECB President Lagarde emphasized data-dependent policy without pre-committing to cuts, amid downside growth risks but persistent price pressures above the 2% target. Recent analyst shifts, including Morgan Stanley scrapping prior cut predictions and Bloomberg surveys anticipating potential hikes in June and September, underpin trader consensus implying an 88% probability of no rate cut in 2026, with the next policy meeting looming as a key catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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