Eurozone GDP growth expectations for Q2 2026 reflect a closely contested environment driven by an energy price shock from Middle East geopolitical tensions, which has pushed headline inflation above 3% and prompted the ECB to deliver a 25-basis-point rate hike in June. Q1 contracted 0.2% quarter-over-quarter per final Eurostat data, with soft survey indicators and muted underlying momentum signaling limited rebound potential. Annual 2026 forecasts have been trimmed to 0.9–1.1% by the European Commission and ECB, incorporating tighter financial conditions and higher funding costs. Trader-implied odds cluster around 0.4–0.7% and 0.8–1.1% QoQ ranges because further downside hinges on sustained inflation pass-through and policy restraint, while modest upside would require energy price stabilization or resilient domestic demand—outcomes that remain finely balanced ahead of the July flash release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026
Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026
0.4-0.7% 48%
0.8-1.1% 30%
0.0-0.3% 18%
<0.0% 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jul 2026
<0.0%
15%
0.0-0.3%
12%
0.4-0.7%
27%
0.8-1.1%
21%
1.2-1.5%
7%
1.6-1.9%
1%
2.0%+
2%
0.4-0.7% 48%
0.8-1.1% 30%
0.0-0.3% 18%
<0.0% 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jul 2026
<0.0%
$139 Vol.
15%
0.0-0.3%
$373 Vol.
12%
0.4-0.7%
$173 Vol.
27%
0.8-1.1%
$183 Vol.
21%
1.2-1.5%
$110 Vol.
7%
1.6-1.9%
$211 Vol.
1%
2.0%+
$139 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Eurozone GDP growth expectations for Q2 2026 reflect a closely contested environment driven by an energy price shock from Middle East geopolitical tensions, which has pushed headline inflation above 3% and prompted the ECB to deliver a 25-basis-point rate hike in June. Q1 contracted 0.2% quarter-over-quarter per final Eurostat data, with soft survey indicators and muted underlying momentum signaling limited rebound potential. Annual 2026 forecasts have been trimmed to 0.9–1.1% by the European Commission and ECB, incorporating tighter financial conditions and higher funding costs. Trader-implied odds cluster around 0.4–0.7% and 0.8–1.1% QoQ ranges because further downside hinges on sustained inflation pass-through and policy restraint, while modest upside would require energy price stabilization or resilient domestic demand—outcomes that remain finely balanced ahead of the July flash release.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 11:40 AM ET
Volumen
$1,329Fecha de finalización
30 jul 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 11:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Eurozone GDP growth expectations for Q2 2026 reflect a closely contested environment driven by an energy price shock from Middle East geopolitical tensions, which has pushed headline inflation above 3% and prompted the ECB to deliver a 25-basis-point rate hike in June. Q1 contracted 0.2% quarter-over-quarter per final Eurostat data, with soft survey indicators and muted underlying momentum signaling limited rebound potential. Annual 2026 forecasts have been trimmed to 0.9–1.1% by the European Commission and ECB, incorporating tighter financial conditions and higher funding costs. Trader-implied odds cluster around 0.4–0.7% and 0.8–1.1% QoQ ranges because further downside hinges on sustained inflation pass-through and policy restraint, while modest upside would require energy price stabilization or resilient domestic demand—outcomes that remain finely balanced ahead of the July flash release.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,329Fecha de finalización
30 jul 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 11:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eurozone GDP growth expectations for Q2 2026 reflect a closely contested environment driven by an energy price shock from Middle East geopolitical tensions, which has pushed headline inflation above 3% and prompted the ECB to deliver a 25-basis-point rate hike in June. Q1 contracted 0.2% quarter-over-quarter per final Eurostat data, with soft survey indicators and muted underlying momentum signaling limited rebound potential. Annual 2026 forecasts have been trimmed to 0.9–1.1% by the European Commission and ECB, incorporating tighter financial conditions and higher funding costs. Trader-implied odds cluster around 0.4–0.7% and 0.8–1.1% QoQ ranges because further downside hinges on sustained inflation pass-through and policy restraint, while modest upside would require energy price stabilization or resilient domestic demand—outcomes that remain finely balanced ahead of the July flash release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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