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Elecciones·Elecciones Globales

Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Cochabamba (Bolivia)

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Elecciones·Elecciones Globales

Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Cochabamba (Bolivia)

Juan Roberth Flores 11.1%

Sergio Oliver Rodríguez 8.9%

Ruth Alina Peralta 3.2%

Jhon Ariel Rioja 1.8%

Polymarket

$8,290 Vol.

Juan Roberth Flores 11.1%

Sergio Oliver Rodríguez 8.9%

Ruth Alina Peralta 3.2%

Jhon Ariel Rioja 1.8%

Polymarket

$8,290 Vol.

Juan Roberth Flores

$0 Vol.

6%

Sergio Oliver Rodríguez

$7,564 Vol.

12%

Ruth Alina Peralta

$726 Vol.

3%

Jhon Ariel Rioja

$0 Vol.

2%

Esther Soria Gonzales

$0 Vol.

2%

Remigio Ancalle

$0 Vol.

1%

Wilfredo Rolando Morales

$0 Vol.

6%

Alejandro Mostajo Rueda

$0 Vol.

1%

Mario Enrique Severich

$0 Vol.

28%

The Cochabamba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus favors Mario Enrique Severich at 28% implied probability to win the Cochabamba Governor election, reflecting recent polling leads from surveys like Ciesmori that show him ahead amid Bolivia's MAS party divisions between President Luis Arce's faction—backing Sergio Olivera Rodríguez (14%)—and Evo Morales' supporters, including Wilfredo Rolando Morales (6%). Economic challenges, corruption allegations against incumbents, and anti-MAS sentiment in the department have boosted Severich's Comunidad Ciudadana appeal, while splintered pro-government votes keep the field wide open with no contender above 30%. Key differentiators include Severich's opposition credentials versus MAS infighting; consolidation could occur via pre-election alliances, endorsements, or campaign momentum ahead of the vote, under Bolivia's first-past-the-post system.

The Cochabamba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Volumen
$8,290
Fecha de finalización
Mar 22, 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 20, 2026, 11:08 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Cochabamba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus favors Mario Enrique Severich at 28% implied probability to win the Cochabamba Governor election, reflecting recent polling leads from surveys like Ciesmori that show him ahead amid Bolivia's MAS party divisions between President Luis Arce's faction—backing Sergio Olivera Rodríguez (14%)—and Evo Morales' supporters, including Wilfredo Rolando Morales (6%). Economic challenges, corruption allegations against incumbents, and anti-MAS sentiment in the department have boosted Severich's Comunidad Ciudadana appeal, while splintered pro-government votes keep the field wide open with no contender above 30%. Key differentiators include Severich's opposition credentials versus MAS infighting; consolidation could occur via pre-election alliances, endorsements, or campaign momentum ahead of the vote, under Bolivia's first-past-the-post system.

Trader consensus favors Mario Enrique Severich at 28% implied probability to win the Cochabamba Governor election, reflecting recent polling leads from surveys like Ciesmori that show him ahead amid Bolivia's MAS party divisions between President Luis Arce's faction—backing Sergio Olivera Rodríguez (14%)—and Evo Morales' supporters, including Wilfredo Rolando Morales (6%). Economic challenges, corruption allegations against incumbents, and anti-MAS sentiment in the department have boosted Severich's Comunidad Ciudadana appeal, while splintered pro-government votes keep the field wide open with no contender above 30%. Key differentiators include Severich's opposition credentials versus MAS infighting; consolidation could occur via pre-election alliances, endorsements, or campaign momentum ahead of the vote, under Bolivia's first-past-the-post system.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Cochabamba (Bolivia)" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Mario Enrique Severich" con 28%, seguido de "Sergio Oliver Rodríguez" con 12%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 28¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Cochabamba (Bolivia)" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jan 20, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Cochabamba (Bolivia)", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Cochabamba (Bolivia)" es "Mario Enrique Severich" con 28%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Sergio Oliver Rodríguez" con 12%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Cochabamba (Bolivia)" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.