Trader consensus assigns a 96.5% implied probability to no criminal charges against Bill Gates by June 30, driven by the complete absence of any confirmed DOJ investigations, grand jury proceedings, or official announcements from federal or state prosecutors. Recent developments focus solely on Gates' philanthropy, such as climate initiatives and global health funding, alongside his 2023 civil antitrust testimony against Google—no criminal momentum has emerged. Online rumors linking him to Epstein associations or vaccine policies persist but lack substantiation from law enforcement, echoing historical patterns where high-profile indictments require extensive prior signaling. Realistic shifts could stem from an unforeseen special counsel appointment or whistleblower revelations triggering rapid charges, though such scenarios remain improbable absent buildup.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSí
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
Sí
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Bill Gates between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Bill Gates between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Bill Gates between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 25, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Volumen
$4,141Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 25, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Bill Gates between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Bill Gates between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Bill Gates between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$4,141Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 25, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus assigns a 96.5% implied probability to no criminal charges against Bill Gates by June 30, driven by the complete absence of any confirmed DOJ investigations, grand jury proceedings, or official announcements from federal or state prosecutors. Recent developments focus solely on Gates' philanthropy, such as climate initiatives and global health funding, alongside his 2023 civil antitrust testimony against Google—no criminal momentum has emerged. Online rumors linking him to Epstein associations or vaccine policies persist but lack substantiation from law enforcement, echoing historical patterns where high-profile indictments require extensive prior signaling. Realistic shifts could stem from an unforeseen special counsel appointment or whistleblower revelations triggering rapid charges, though such scenarios remain improbable absent buildup.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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