Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 24 meeting, reflecting the central bank's seventh consecutive cut on March 20—from 15.5% to 15%—amid a sustained disinflation trajectory toward its 4% target, with annual inflation projected at 4.5–5.5% for 2026. Slowing economic growth, evidenced by recent downward revisions to GDP forecasts, bolsters easing expectations despite mildly elevated household inflation views at 13.4% in March and external risks like geopolitical tensions. No change trades at 11.5% on policy caution, while a hike at 0.3% faces high barriers given the ongoing normalization cycle from the 21% peak in late 2024.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Decisión del Banco de Rusia en abril?
¿Decisión del Banco de Rusia en abril?
Disminuir 88%
Sin cambios 12%
Aumento <1%
$38,507 Vol.
$38,507 Vol.
24 abr 2026
Disminuir
88%
Sin cambios
12%
Aumento
<1%
Disminuir 88%
Sin cambios 12%
Aumento <1%
$38,507 Vol.
$38,507 Vol.
24 abr 2026
Disminuir
$18,790 Vol.
88%
Sin cambios
$8,497 Vol.
12%
Aumento
$11,221 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 24 meeting, reflecting the central bank's seventh consecutive cut on March 20—from 15.5% to 15%—amid a sustained disinflation trajectory toward its 4% target, with annual inflation projected at 4.5–5.5% for 2026. Slowing economic growth, evidenced by recent downward revisions to GDP forecasts, bolsters easing expectations despite mildly elevated household inflation views at 13.4% in March and external risks like geopolitical tensions. No change trades at 11.5% on policy caution, while a hike at 0.3% faces high barriers given the ongoing normalization cycle from the 21% peak in late 2024.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Volumen
$38,507Fecha de finalización
24 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 24 meeting, reflecting the central bank's seventh consecutive cut on March 20—from 15.5% to 15%—amid a sustained disinflation trajectory toward its 4% target, with annual inflation projected at 4.5–5.5% for 2026. Slowing economic growth, evidenced by recent downward revisions to GDP forecasts, bolsters easing expectations despite mildly elevated household inflation views at 13.4% in March and external risks like geopolitical tensions. No change trades at 11.5% on policy caution, while a hike at 0.3% faces high barriers given the ongoing normalization cycle from the 21% peak in late 2024.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$38,507Fecha de finalización
24 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 24 meeting, reflecting the central bank's seventh consecutive cut on March 20—from 15.5% to 15%—amid a sustained disinflation trajectory toward its 4% target, with annual inflation projected at 4.5–5.5% for 2026. Slowing economic growth, evidenced by recent downward revisions to GDP forecasts, bolsters easing expectations despite mildly elevated household inflation views at 13.4% in March and external risks like geopolitical tensions. No change trades at 11.5% on policy caution, while a hike at 0.3% faces high barriers given the ongoing normalization cycle from the 21% peak in late 2024.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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