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Elecciones·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska

Market icon
Elecciones·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska

Mary Peltola 52%

Dan Sullivan 47%

Dustin Darden <1%

Ann Diener <1%

Polymarket

$281,924 Vol.

Mary Peltola 52%

Dan Sullivan 47%

Dustin Darden <1%

Ann Diener <1%

Polymarket

$281,924 Vol.

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Mary Peltola

$143,207 Vol.

52%

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Dan Sullivan

$78,519 Vol.

47%

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Dustin Darden

$16,425 Vol.

<1%

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Ann Diener

$28,843 Vol.

<1%

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Richard Grayson

$14,929 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola's January announcement challenging incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan has fueled a tight Alaska Senate race, with recent polls like those from Public Policy Polling and Alaska Survey Research showing her narrow leads of 49-47 and 48-46, mirroring trader consensus at 51.5% for Peltola versus 46.5% for Sullivan. Sullivan's sinking approval ratings—hitting a new low in February per Morning Consult—stem from voter dissatisfaction amid national GOP policy debates, including Medicaid changes highlighted in recent Democratic ads. Alaska's ranked-choice voting and top-four nonpartisan primary on August 18 amplify moderate appeal, keeping dynamics close despite the state's Republican lean; separation could come from June 1 filing deadline entrants, fundraising edges, or endorsements as the November 3 general nears.

Former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola's January announcement challenging incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan has fueled a tight Alaska Senate race, with recent polls like those from Public Policy Polling and Alaska Survey Research showing her narrow leads of 49-47 and 48-46, mirroring trader consensus at 51.5% for Peltola versus 46.5% for Sullivan. Sullivan's sinking approval ratings—hitting a new low in February per Morning Consult—stem from voter dissatisfaction amid national GOP policy debates, including Medicaid changes highlighted in recent Democratic ads. Alaska's ranked-choice voting and top-four nonpartisan primary on August 18 amplify moderate appeal, keeping dynamics close despite the state's Republican lean; separation could come from June 1 filing deadline entrants, fundraising edges, or endorsements as the November 3 general nears.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola's January announcement challenging incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan has fueled a tight Alaska Senate race, with recent polls like those from Public Policy Polling and Alaska Survey Research showing her narrow leads of 49-47 and 48-46, mirroring trader consensus at 51.5% for Peltola versus 46.5% for Sullivan. Sullivan's sinking approval ratings—hitting a new low in February per Morning Consult—stem from voter dissatisfaction amid national GOP policy debates, including Medicaid changes highlighted in recent Democratic ads. Alaska's ranked-choice voting and top-four nonpartisan primary on August 18 amplify moderate appeal, keeping dynamics close despite the state's Republican lean; separation could come from June 1 filing deadline entrants, fundraising edges, or endorsements as the November 3 general nears.

Former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola's January announcement challenging incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan has fueled a tight Alaska Senate race, with recent polls like those from Public Policy Polling and Alaska Survey Research showing her narrow leads of 49-47 and 48-46, mirroring trader consensus at 51.5% for Peltola versus 46.5% for Sullivan. Sullivan's sinking approval ratings—hitting a new low in February per Morning Consult—stem from voter dissatisfaction amid national GOP policy debates, including Medicaid changes highlighted in recent Democratic ads. Alaska's ranked-choice voting and top-four nonpartisan primary on August 18 amplify moderate appeal, keeping dynamics close despite the state's Republican lean; separation could come from June 1 filing deadline entrants, fundraising edges, or endorsements as the November 3 general nears.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Mary Peltola" con 52%, seguido de "Dan Sullivan" con 47%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 52¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 52% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska" ha generado $281.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 13, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska" es "Mary Peltola" con 52%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 52% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Dan Sullivan" con 47%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.