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Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by...?
January 31, 2026
44%
June 30, 2026
89%
$527k Vol.
Super Bowl Champion 2026
Seattle
14%
Los Angeles R
12%
$641m Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$5m Vol.
NFL MVP
Drake Maye
74%
Matthew Stafford
25%
$2m Vol.
Fed decision in January?
50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
13%
$86m Vol.
Who will die in Stranger Things: Season 5?
Eight
78%
Murray
31%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 31?
43%
Up
Down
NEW
Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
>$1B
100%
>$2B
$91m Vol.
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?
$103k Vol.
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
21%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
20%
$49k Vol.
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
9%
$121k Vol.
US bank failure by January 31?
$19k Vol.
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
December 31
<1%
January 31
22%
$767k Vol.
Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of January?
↑ $90
↑ $85
$248k Vol.
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
39%
$160k Vol.
Tim Walz charged by...?
March 31
Before 2027
29%
$70k Vol.
Who will be named in newly released Epstein files in 2025?
Oprah Winfrey
5%
Robert Downey Jr.
$22m Vol.
Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price
>$4m
92%
>$5m
$1m Vol.
PDC World Darts Championship Winner
Luke Littler
60%
Luke Humphries
16%
Lighter FDV above ___ one day after launch? (2026)
$1B
$2B
99%
$4m Vol.
English Premier League Winner
Arsenal
59%
Man City
35%
$149m Vol.
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
54%
Marco Rubio
$144m Vol.
2026 NBA Champion
Oklahoma City Thunder
47%
San Antonio Spurs
$117m Vol.
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