Polymarket | The World’s Largest Prediction Market™

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

Democrats’ Midterm Victory Shakes Up 2028 Electoral Map

Americans vote in midterms that could define Trump's closing chapter

Analysis | Midterms offer a road map for Democrats and highlight risks for Republicans

Who Wants to Be US President in 2028? Pre-Midterm Moves Offer Clues

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

Democrats’ Midterm Victory Shakes Up 2028 Electoral Map

Americans vote in midterms that could define Trump's closing chapter

Analysis | Midterms offer a road map for Democrats and highlight risks for Republicans

Who Wants to Be US President in 2028? Pre-Midterm Moves Offer Clues

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

Democrats’ Midterm Victory Shakes Up 2028 Electoral Map

Americans vote in midterms that could define Trump's closing chapter

Analysis | Midterms offer a road map for Democrats and highlight risks for Republicans

Who Wants to Be US President in 2028? Pre-Midterm Moves Offer Clues

Jon Ossoff 18%

JD Vance 17%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12%

Marco Rubio 8%

$732M Vol

Ends Nov 8, 2028·

76ers vs. Pistons

Sports·Basketball·NBA

76ers vs. Pistons

Sports·Basketball·NBA

Spread

Total

Spread

Total

$2M Vol

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola (D)

94%

Sen. Dan Sullivan (R)

Dustin Darden

<1%

Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.

<1%

What’s Next in the Alaska Senate Race Between Mary Peltola and Dan Sullivan?

Alaska U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026

Alaska’s tight Senate race raises questions about Justice Dept.’s next moves

Judge dismisses Trump administration's lawsuit over two Dan Sullivans in Alaska election

Alaska Governor Orders Probe Over Same-Name Senate Race Controversy

What’s Next in the Alaska Senate Race Between Mary Peltola and Dan Sullivan?

Alaska U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026

Alaska’s tight Senate race raises questions about Justice Dept.’s next moves

Judge dismisses Trump administration's lawsuit over two Dan Sullivans in Alaska election

Alaska Governor Orders Probe Over Same-Name Senate Race Controversy

What’s Next in the Alaska Senate Race Between Mary Peltola and Dan Sullivan?

Alaska U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026

Alaska’s tight Senate race raises questions about Justice Dept.’s next moves

Judge dismisses Trump administration's lawsuit over two Dan Sullivans in Alaska election

Alaska Governor Orders Probe Over Same-Name Senate Race Controversy

Mary Peltola (D) 94%

Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) 6%

Dustin Darden <1%

Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. <1%

$6M Vol

Ends Nov 4, 2026·

US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?

November 5

November 6

November 8

November 15

COMMENTARY: On AI and Iran, Trump risks bombing himself in the foot

Exclusive | U.S. Pushes to Restore Russian Gas Sales to Europe Via Ukraine

Iran’s leaders say midterm results show US voters have rejected Trump’s war

On TV, the Midterms Offered Drama and a Casting Change

Inside the breakdown of Trump’s $1.5 trillion Pentagon plan

COMMENTARY: On AI and Iran, Trump risks bombing himself in the foot

Exclusive | U.S. Pushes to Restore Russian Gas Sales to Europe Via Ukraine

Iran’s leaders say midterm results show US voters have rejected Trump’s war

On TV, the Midterms Offered Drama and a Casting Change

Inside the breakdown of Trump’s $1.5 trillion Pentagon plan

COMMENTARY: On AI and Iran, Trump risks bombing himself in the foot

Exclusive | U.S. Pushes to Restore Russian Gas Sales to Europe Via Ukraine

Iran’s leaders say midterm results show US voters have rejected Trump’s war

On TV, the Midterms Offered Drama and a Casting Change

Inside the breakdown of Trump’s $1.5 trillion Pentagon plan

November 5 96%

November 6 91%

November 8 82%

November 15 59%

$365K Vol

Ends Jan 1, 2027·

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Jon Ossoff

26%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Gavin Newsom

Josh Shapiro

Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom, weighing 2028 runs, rally together in California

Newsom and Harris Appear Together, With Little Hint of What’s to Come

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

Who Wants to Be US President in 2028? Pre-Midterm Moves Offer Clues

Democrats’ Midterm Victory Shakes Up 2028 Electoral Map

Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom, weighing 2028 runs, rally together in California

Newsom and Harris Appear Together, With Little Hint of What’s to Come

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

Who Wants to Be US President in 2028? Pre-Midterm Moves Offer Clues

Democrats’ Midterm Victory Shakes Up 2028 Electoral Map

Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom, weighing 2028 runs, rally together in California

Newsom and Harris Appear Together, With Little Hint of What’s to Come

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

Who Wants to Be US President in 2028? Pre-Midterm Moves Offer Clues

Democrats’ Midterm Victory Shakes Up 2028 Electoral Map

Jon Ossoff 26%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14%

Gavin Newsom 14%

Josh Shapiro 5%

$1B Vol

Ends Nov 8, 2028·

Will Trump be impeached by...?

December 31, 2027

June 30, 2027

December 31, 2026

Opinion | Hegseth just showed again why he needs to go

Watch Trump Says He's Not Worried About Impeachment

CNN

Pete Hegseth’s political future could be on the line if Democrats win the House

What Democrats can and can't do with their new power after taking Congress

After midterm losses, Trump stares down the specter of Democratic probes and the race to succeed him

Opinion | Hegseth just showed again why he needs to go

Watch Trump Says He's Not Worried About Impeachment

CNN

Pete Hegseth’s political future could be on the line if Democrats win the House

What Democrats can and can't do with their new power after taking Congress

After midterm losses, Trump stares down the specter of Democratic probes and the race to succeed him

Opinion | Hegseth just showed again why he needs to go

Watch Trump Says He's Not Worried About Impeachment

CNN

Pete Hegseth’s political future could be on the line if Democrats win the House

What Democrats can and can't do with their new power after taking Congress

After midterm losses, Trump stares down the specter of Democratic probes and the race to succeed him

December 31, 2027 60%

June 30, 2027 46%

December 31, 2026 3%

$1M Vol

Ends Jan 1, 2027·

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase

78%

No change

22%

50+ bps increase

25 bps decrease

<1%

Inflation Accelerated in September, Fed’s Preferred Measure Shows

Fed’s Logan Sees Two More Hikes, But Says Pace Can Be Gradual

Fed officials make case for rate hikes amid ongoing inflation concerns

Fed Needs to Implement at Least Two More Rate Increases, Dallas Fed’s Logan Says

Bloomberg

Warsh Fed Should Heed New Zealand's Cautionary Tale

Inflation Accelerated in September, Fed’s Preferred Measure Shows

Fed’s Logan Sees Two More Hikes, But Says Pace Can Be Gradual

Fed officials make case for rate hikes amid ongoing inflation concerns

Fed Needs to Implement at Least Two More Rate Increases, Dallas Fed’s Logan Says

Bloomberg

Warsh Fed Should Heed New Zealand's Cautionary Tale

Inflation Accelerated in September, Fed’s Preferred Measure Shows

Fed’s Logan Sees Two More Hikes, But Says Pace Can Be Gradual

Fed officials make case for rate hikes amid ongoing inflation concerns

Fed Needs to Implement at Least Two More Rate Increases, Dallas Fed’s Logan Says

Bloomberg

Warsh Fed Should Heed New Zealand's Cautionary Tale

25 bps increase 78%

No change 22%

50+ bps increase 1%

25 bps decrease <1%

$13M Vol

Monthly

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Democratic

Republican

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

Democrats’ Midterm Victory Shakes Up 2028 Electoral Map

The Most Important Race Shaping 2028 for Democrats Is Happening Now in Michigan

Analysis | Midterms offer a road map for Democrats and highlight risks for Republicans

Who Wants to Be US President in 2028? Pre-Midterm Moves Offer Clues

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

Democrats’ Midterm Victory Shakes Up 2028 Electoral Map

The Most Important Race Shaping 2028 for Democrats Is Happening Now in Michigan

Analysis | Midterms offer a road map for Democrats and highlight risks for Republicans

Who Wants to Be US President in 2028? Pre-Midterm Moves Offer Clues

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

Democrats’ Midterm Victory Shakes Up 2028 Electoral Map

The Most Important Race Shaping 2028 for Democrats Is Happening Now in Michigan

Analysis | Midterms offer a road map for Democrats and highlight risks for Republicans

Who Wants to Be US President in 2028? Pre-Midterm Moves Offer Clues

Democratic 68%

Republican 33%

$3M Vol

Ends Nov 8, 2028·

Bitcoin Up or Down

November 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down

November 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Up1.31x Down7.14x

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

It-aint-much

I refreshed like 500 times today :D

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

It-aint-much

I refreshed like 500 times today :D

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

It-aint-much

I refreshed like 500 times today :D

$13M Vol

Live

All markets

2026 Midterms
Predictions

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

92%

Down

Live

ANTAnthropic Pre-IPO

$1,840.4+3.73%10xPerps

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Jon Ossoff

18%

Yes18%No82%

JD Vance

17%

Yes17%No83%

Jon Ossoff

18%

Yes18%No82%

JD Vance

17%

Yes17%No83%

$732M Vol.

US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?

November 5

96%

Yes96%No4%

November 6

91%

Yes91%No10%

November 5

96%

Yes96%No4%

November 6

91%

Yes91%No10%

NEW

$373K Vol.

76ers

84%

Pistons

17%

76ers

Pistons

$2M Vol.

·NBA

Bucks

17%

Celtics

83%

Bucks

Celtics

$2M Vol.

·NBA

$500K rewards

LoL Worlds
Odds & Predictions

Central Michigan

98%

Eastern Michigan

Central

Eastern

$1M Vol.

·College Football

Ball State

55%

UMass

46%

Ball State

UMass

$1M Vol.

·College Football

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola (D)

94%

Sen. Dan Sullivan (R)

Yes7%No94%

Mary Peltola (D)

94%

Sen. Dan Sullivan (R)

Yes7%No94%

$6M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

57%

Yes57%No43%

Benjamin Netanyahu

30%

Yes30%No70%

Gadi Eizenkot

57%

Yes57%No43%

Benjamin Netanyahu

30%

Yes30%No70%

$87M Vol.

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase

78%

Yes78%No23%

No change

22%

Yes22%No79%

25 bps increase

78%

Yes78%No23%

No change

22%

Yes22%No79%

$13M Vol.

Monthly

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

48%

chance

Yes

$1M Vol.

Will Trump be impeached by...?

December 31, 2027

60%

Yes60%No41%

June 30, 2027

46%

Yes46%No54%

December 31, 2027

60%

Yes60%No41%

June 30, 2027

46%

Yes46%No54%

$1M Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$1.75–$2.0T

26%

$1.5–$1.75T

24%

Yes24%No76%

$1.75–$2.0T

26%

$1.5–$1.75T

24%

Yes24%No76%

$3M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Jon Ossoff

26%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

14%

Yes14%No86%

Jon Ossoff

26%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

14%

Yes14%No86%

$1B Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

34%

Yes34%No66%

Marco Rubio

19%

Yes19%No81%

J.D. Vance

34%

Yes34%No66%

Marco Rubio

19%

Yes19%No81%

$727M Vol.

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

November 3

100%

November 4

100%

November 3

100%

November 4

100%

$45M Vol.

NC-03 House Election Winner

Raymond Smith Jr. (D)

77%

Yes77%No23%

Greg Murphy (R)

23%

Yes23%No77%

Raymond Smith Jr. (D)

77%

Yes77%No23%

Greg Murphy (R)

23%

Yes23%No77%

$976K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)

93%

93%

$829K Vol.

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? (Lower Brackets)

170-174

53%

Yes53%No47%

175-179

39%

Yes39%No61%

170-174

53%

Yes53%No47%

175-179

39%

Yes39%No61%

$35K Vol.

Trump declares election interference national emergency by...? card icon

Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?

chance

Yes

$566K Vol.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 31

71%

Yes71%No30%

December 31

44%

Yes44%No56%

March 31

71%

Yes71%No30%

December 31

44%

Yes44%No56%

$48M Vol.

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen

41%

Yes41%No59%

David Lisnard

16%

Yes16%No84%

Marine Le Pen

41%

Yes41%No59%

David Lisnard

16%

Yes16%No84%

$166M Vol.

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

December 31

33%

Yes33%No68%

November 30

20%

Yes20%No80%

December 31

33%

Yes33%No68%

November 30

20%

Yes20%No80%

$4M Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

Scott Colom (D)

98%

Yes98%No2%

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)

Yes2%No98%

Scott Colom (D)

98%

Yes98%No2%

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)

Yes2%No98%

$5M Vol.

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)

None

94%

Yes6%No94%

None

94%

Yes6%No94%

$78M Vol.

Hawks

100%

Wizards

Hawks

Wizards

$2M Vol.

·NBA

Pacers

36%

Grizzlies

65%

Pacers

Grizzlies

$2M Vol.

·NBA

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? card icon

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

chance

Yes

$78M Vol.

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Barcelona

23%

Yes23%No78%

Paris Saint-Germain

19%

Yes19%No82%

Barcelona

23%

Yes23%No78%

Paris Saint-Germain

19%

Yes19%No82%

$68M Vol.

Cavaliers

14%

Thunder

87%

Cavaliers

Thunder

$1M Vol.

·NBA

Buffalo

100%

Miami (OH)

Buffalo

Miami (OH)

$2M Vol.

·College Football

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 31

100%

November 2

100%

October 31

100%

November 2

100%