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Fed decision in January?
50+ bps decrease
2%
25 bps decrease
22%
$30m Vol.
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Hassett
53%
Kevin Warsh
23%
$69m Vol.
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
81%
Tate
Demoor
$349k Vol.
Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua
Jake Paul
11%
Anthony Joshua
87%
$3m Vol.
Manchester City FC vs Brentford FC
Brentford FC
6%
Manchester City FC
79%
Live
$470k Vol.
Monarchs
37%
Bulls
64%
$877k Vol.
Will Trump release Epstein files by...?
December 18
December 19
50%
$7m Vol.
Maduro out by...?
December 31, 2025
January 31, 2026
21%
$27m Vol.
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 17?
<1%
Up
Down
$84k Vol.
What will Trump say during the address on December 17?
Terrible / Horrible
84%
Big Beautiful Bill
85%
$205k Vol.
Super Bowl Champion 2026
Los Angeles R
20%
Buffalo
12%
$625m Vol.
Medline IPO Closing Market Cap
<35B
5%
35B–45B
$89k Vol.
Survivor 49 Winner
Savannah Louie
88%
Rizo Velovic
10%
$565k Vol.
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?
December 31
4%
March 31, 2026
57%
$2m Vol.
Will Trump remove his Rob Reiner post?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$96k Vol.
Brown University shooter arrested by...?
16%
69%
$130k Vol.
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
47%
Flávio Bolsonaro
18%
$8m Vol.
Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
>$1B
72%
>$2B
62%
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
28%
$298k Vol.
NFL MVP
Matthew Stafford
70%
Josh Allen
15%
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Kristi Noem
19%
Pete Hegseth
$292k Vol.
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?
25%
$183k Vol.
2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship Winner
Sam Soverel
100%
Michael Mizrachi
$234m Vol.
Portugal Presidential Election
Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
63%
Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$70m Vol.
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