Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

1%

$50M 交易量

$2M today

$1M Liq.

2

Ends in 4 days

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

89%

March 31

$6M 交易量

$676K today

$313K Liq.

122

Ends in 5 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

9%

$11M 交易量

$328K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

23%

$21M 交易量

$259K today

$853K Liq.

3

Ends in 3 months

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

34%

$12M 交易量

$98.4K today

$393K Liq.

10

Ends in 9 months

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

79%

$396K 交易量

$27.6K Liq.

44

Ends in 3 months

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

34%

Leadership Change

$26.0K 交易量

$8.9K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

45%

December 31

$5M 交易量

$148K today

$329K Liq.

866

Ends in 9 months

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

53%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$5M 交易量

$411K today

$856K Liq.

66

Ends in 9 months

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

23%

December 31

$11M 交易量

$159K today

$609K Liq.

263

Ends in 3 months

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

18%

June 30

$693K 交易量

$87.1K Liq.

60

Ends in about 1 month

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

10%

March 28

$83.8K 交易量

$53.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

98%

March 31

$151K 交易量

$16.7K Liq.

10

Ends in about 1 month

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

14%

April 30

$86.6K 交易量

$16.7K Liq.

26

Ends in about 1 month

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

15%

$819K 交易量

$72.8K Liq.

24

Ends in 9 months

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

23%

$326K 交易量

$21.2K Liq.

17

Ends in 3 months

How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?

94%

<5

$42.5K 交易量

$45.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 4 days

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

15%

$106K 交易量

$16.7K Liq.

9

Ends in 3 months

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

7%

$183K 交易量

$19.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

83%

March 31

$40.7K 交易量

$28.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 伊朗政权 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 125 个活跃的 伊朗政权 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $123.1M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?",市场目前认为 No 的概率为 99%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 伊朗政权 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。