Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

1%

$48M 交易量

$1M today

$2M Liq.

1

Ends in 6 days

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

93%

March 31

$6M 交易量

$953K today

$571K Liq.

98

Ends in 7 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

9%

$10M 交易量

$361K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

22%

$21M 交易量

$320K today

$711K Liq.

3

Ends in 3 months

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

32%

$12M 交易量

$109K today

$383K Liq.

10

Ends in 9 months

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

37%

Leadership Change

$24.1K 交易量

$8.8K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

80%

$391K 交易量

$34.2K Liq.

44

Ends in 3 months

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

55%

December 31

$4M 交易量

$123K today

$209K Liq.

858

Ends in 9 months

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

23%

December 31

$11M 交易量

$214K today

$458K Liq.

257

Ends in 3 months

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

45%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$4M 交易量

$886K Liq.

64

Ends in 9 months

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

42%

June 30

$653K 交易量

$63.7K Liq.

59

Ends in about 1 month

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

14%

$812K 交易量

$78.7K Liq.

23

Ends in 9 months

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

12%

March 29

$88.3K 交易量

$75.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

23%

$323K 交易量

$31.5K Liq.

17

Ends in 3 months

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

21%

April 30

$76.8K 交易量

$18.9K Liq.

27

Ends in about 1 month

How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?

90%

<5

$40.2K 交易量

$38.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

16%

$105K 交易量

$31.5K Liq.

9

Ends in 3 months

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

97%

March 31

$137K 交易量

$24.4K Liq.

9

Ends in about 1 month

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

8%

$182K 交易量

$18.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

98%

March 31

$219K 交易量

$19.8K Liq.

7

Ends in about 1 month

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 伊朗政权 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 125 个活跃的 伊朗政权 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $118.9M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?",市场目前认为 No 的概率为 99%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 伊朗政权 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。