Khamenei predictions & odds

·
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Khamenei

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

32%

$7m 交易量

$234k today

$114k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Khamenei

Politics

Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

1%

$2m 交易量

$210k today

$9.7k Liq.

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Khamenei

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

19%

$3m 交易量

$80.2k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

Khamenei

Politics

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

53%

February 28

$649k 交易量

$15.0k Liq.

10

Ends in about 1 month

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Khamenei

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

40%

$3m 交易量

$148k Liq.

6

Ends in 11 months

Odds of Khamenei out by February over__ in January?

Khamenei

Politics

Odds of Khamenei out by February over__ in January?

13%

>30%

$71.1k 交易量

$13.2k Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Khamenei

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

40%

$4m 交易量

$63.5k Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Khamenei

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

54%

$2m 交易量

$118k Liq.

8

Ends in 11 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Khamenei

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

27%

$968k 交易量

$55.1k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Iran strike on US military by January 31?

Khamenei

Politics

Iran strike on US military by January 31?

16%

$198k 交易量

$2.9k Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Iran strike on US military by February 28?

Khamenei

Politics

Iran strike on US military by February 28?

33%

$13.7k 交易量

$3.0k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by...?

Khamenei

Politics

U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by...?

65%

June 30

$27.0k 交易量

$11.9k Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Israel strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?

Khamenei

Politics

Israel strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?

5%

$4.9k 交易量

$8.5k Liq.

Iran strike on Qatar by January 31?

Khamenei

Politics

Iran strike on Qatar by January 31?

8%

$74.2k 交易量

$5.6k Liq.

4

Ends in 7 days

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Khamenei

Politics

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

56%

$23.4k 交易量

$5.3k Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?

Khamenei

Politics

US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?

20%

US Strikes Iran

$28.5k 交易量

$3.2k Liq.

4

Ends in 11 months

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by January 31?

Khamenei

Politics

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by January 31?

2%

$9.8k 交易量

$3.1k Liq.

1

Ends in 7 days

Israel strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?

Khamenei

Politics

Israel strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?

9%

$2.7k 交易量

$9.2k Liq.

Ends in about 18 hours

Israel strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?

Khamenei

Politics

Israel strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?

15%

$1.6k 交易量

$18.9k Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?

Khamenei

Politics

Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?

1%

$8.1k 交易量

$1.8k Liq.

1

Ends in 7 days