Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

37%

December 31

$6M 交易量

$91.1K today

$262K Liq.

887

Ends 9 个月内

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

17%

Leadership Change

$33.8K 交易量

$11.8K Liq.

5

Ends 9 个月内

What will Trump say this week? (April 5)

What will Trump say this week? (April 5)

11%

Unlimited Ammunition

$35.8K 交易量

$7.8K Liq.

Ends 大约 16 小时内

What will Trump say in April?

What will Trump say in April?

84%

Disgusting

$48.3K 交易量

$20.3K Liq.

15

Ends 26 天内

Who will Trump name in April?

Who will Trump name in April?

91%

Netanyahu

$4.1K 交易量

$24.3K Liq.

1

Ends 26 天内

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

9%

June 30

$773K 交易量

$85.0K Liq.

62

Ends 26 天内

Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

28%

5-9

$122 交易量

$995 Liq.

Ends 10 天内

Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

47%

10-14

$19.4K 交易量

$13.8K Liq.

Ends 3 天内

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

27%

May 31

$844K 交易量

$41.6K Liq.

123

Ends 26 天内

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

37%

December 31

$514K 交易量

$49.0K Liq.

29

Ends 9 个月内

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

44%

June 30, 2026

$411K 交易量

$21.7K Liq.

20

Ends 4 天前

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

7%

June 30

$287K 交易量

$22.8K Liq.

7

Ends 26 天内

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

8%

April 30

$23.4K 交易量

$12.5K Liq.

Ends 26 天内

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

7%

$142K 交易量

$69.4K today

$247K Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

14%

$26M 交易量

$374K today

$2M Liq.

1

Ends 3 个月内

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

4%

$19M 交易量

$530K today

$1M Liq.

1

Ends 26 天内

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

60%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$4M 交易量

$345K Liq.

Ends 9 个月内

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

40%

December 31

$113M 交易量

$321K today

$18M Liq.

33

Ends 9 个月内

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

28%

$13M 交易量

$132K today

$322K Liq.

6

Ends 9 个月内

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

6%

December 31

$4.8K 交易量

$34.4K Liq.

Ends 9 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 Khamenei Out 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 105 个活跃的 Khamenei Out 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Iran leadership change by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $184.1M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Netanyahu out by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Netanyahu out by...?",市场目前认为 December 31 的概率为 40%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 Khamenei Out 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。