Iran leadership change by...?
Khamenei Out·Politics

Iran leadership change by...?

69%

December 31

$4M 交易量

$854K today

$232K Liq.

441

Ends in 10 months

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
Khamenei Out·Iran

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

45%

Leadership Change

$1.3K 交易量

$2.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 10 months

What will Trump post this week? (March 16 - March 22)
Khamenei Out·Politics

What will Trump post this week? (March 16 - March 22)

74%

Texas

$23 交易量

$6.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

What will Trump say this week (March 15)?
Khamenei Out·Politics

What will Trump say this week (March 15)?

27%

Kennedy

$59.9K 交易量

$3.1K Liq.

Ends in about 19 hours

What will Trump say this week? (March 22)
Khamenei Out·Politics

What will Trump say this week? (March 22)

92%

Drone

$232 交易量

$15.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?
Khamenei Out·Politics

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

44%

December 31

$424K 交易量

$45.2K Liq.

19

Ends in 10 months

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
Khamenei Out·Iran

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

44%

April 30

$896K 交易量

$146K today

$155K Liq.

63

Ends in about 2 months

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
Khamenei Out·Politics

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

31%

March 31, 2026

$328K 交易量

$8.4K Liq.

14

Ends in 17 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Khamenei Out·Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

26%

$16M 交易量

$662K today

$776K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Khamenei Out·Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

14%

$4M 交易量

$1M today

$560K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Next leader out of power before 2027?
Khamenei Out·Politics

Next leader out of power before 2027?

32%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$69.4K 交易量

$103K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Khamenei Out·Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

4%

$32M 交易量

$1M today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Netanyahu out by...?
Khamenei Out·Politics

Netanyahu out by...?

47%

December 31

$953K 交易量

$380K today

$238K Liq.

28

Ends in 10 months

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Khamenei Out·Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

35%

$10M 交易量

$166K today

$441K Liq.

6

Ends in 10 months

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
Khamenei Out·Politics

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

75%

June 30

$2M 交易量

$256K today

$221K Liq.

42

Ends in 18 days

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
Khamenei Out·Politics

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

78%

Not revealed in 2026

$8.6K 交易量

$11.3K Liq.

4

Ends in 10 months

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?
Khamenei Out·Politics

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

9%

$8.3K 交易量

$9.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Khamenei Out·Politics

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

19%

$62.0K 交易量

$8.6K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
Khamenei Out·Iran

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

31%

April 30

$84.0K 交易量

$8.6K Liq.

22

Ends in about 2 months

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?
Khamenei Out·Iran

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?

9%

$83.6K 交易量

$13.9K Liq.

4

Ends in 4 months

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 Khamenei Out 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 105 个活跃的 Khamenei Out 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Iran leadership change by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $70.5M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Iran leadership change by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?",市场目前认为 No 的概率为 96%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 Khamenei Out 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。