Market icon
政治·主要

威斯康星州州长民主党初选获胜者

Market icon
政治·主要

威斯康星州州长民主党初选获胜者

曼德拉·巴恩斯 36%

弗朗西斯卡·洪 27.9%

萨拉·罗德里格斯 25%

大卫·克劳利 6.3%

Polymarket

$23,460 交易量

曼德拉·巴恩斯 36%

弗朗西斯卡·洪 27.9%

萨拉·罗德里格斯 25%

大卫·克劳利 6.3%

Polymarket

$23,460 交易量

曼德拉·巴恩斯

$7,350 交易量

36%

弗朗西斯卡·洪

$0 交易量

28%

萨拉·罗德里格斯

$5,373 交易量

25%

大卫·克劳利

$2,379 交易量

6%

乔尔·布伦南

$0 交易量

5%

凯尔达·罗伊斯

$0 交易量

2%

克里斯·拉尔森

$8,358 交易量

1%

汤姆·尼尔森

$0 交易量

<1%

Brett Hulsey

$0 交易量

<1%

蒂姆·雅各布森

$0 交易量

<1%

梅丽莎·阿加德

$0 交易量

<1%

密西·休斯

$0 交易量

<1%

扎卡里·罗珀

$0 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Following Gov. Tony Evers' March announcement declining a third term, Wisconsin's 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary field remains fragmented, driving trader consensus toward Mandela Barnes at 36% due to his statewide name recognition from the 2022 U.S. Senate race and early endorsements from labor unions. Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez trails closely at 25%, bolstered by her executive experience and strong fundraising totals reported in recent FEC filings, while state Rep. Francesca Hong at 27.5% gains from progressive backing amid debates over party direction. The tight contest among top contenders reflects no dominant frontrunner, with polls like Emerson's May survey showing similar spreads; separation could emerge from summer polling shifts, key endorsements, or candidate debates ahead of the August 2026 primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$23,460
结束日期
Aug 11, 2026
市场开放时间
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Following Gov. Tony Evers' March announcement declining a third term, Wisconsin's 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary field remains fragmented, driving trader consensus toward Mandela Barnes at 36% due to his statewide name recognition from the 2022 U.S. Senate race and early endorsements from labor unions. Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez trails closely at 25%, bolstered by her executive experience and strong fundraising totals reported in recent FEC filings, while state Rep. Francesca Hong at 27.5% gains from progressive backing amid debates over party direction. The tight contest among top contenders reflects no dominant frontrunner, with polls like Emerson's May survey showing similar spreads; separation could emerge from summer polling shifts, key endorsements, or candidate debates ahead of the August 2026 primary.

Following Gov. Tony Evers' March announcement declining a third term, Wisconsin's 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary field remains fragmented, driving trader consensus toward Mandela Barnes at 36% due to his statewide name recognition from the 2022 U.S. Senate race and early endorsements from labor unions. Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez trails closely at 25%, bolstered by her executive experience and strong fundraising totals reported in recent FEC filings, while state Rep. Francesca Hong at 27.5% gains from progressive backing amid debates over party direction. The tight contest among top contenders reflects no dominant frontrunner, with polls like Emerson's May survey showing similar spreads; separation could emerge from summer polling shifts, key endorsements, or candidate debates ahead of the August 2026 primary.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"威斯康星州州长民主党初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 13 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"曼德拉·巴恩斯"，概率为 36%，其次是"弗朗西斯卡·洪"，概率为 28%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 36¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 36%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"威斯康星州州长民主党初选获胜者"已产生 $23.5K 的总交易量（自Dec 11, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"威斯康星州州长民主党初选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 13 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"威斯康星州州长民主党初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"曼德拉·巴恩斯"，概率为 36%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 36%。紧随其后的结果是"弗朗西斯卡·洪"，概率为 28%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"威斯康星州州长民主党初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。