Russian forces captured Uspenivka, a small village in Zaporizhia Oblast's Hulyaipole sector, in December 2024 after prolonged assaults, consolidating gains amid broader Donetsk frontline pressure. In the past month, Ukrainian troops advanced to the outskirts by mid-March 2026, clearing high ground west and northeast of the settlement before striking a Russian ammunition depot inside Uspenivka on March 30, per geolocated footage from Ukrainian 423rd Brigade. Fighting remains intense with control contested; no verified full Ukrainian re-entry as of early April. Traders monitor DeepStateMap updates, ISW assessments, and official claims, as Russia's anticipated spring offensive and Ukrainian counter-maneuvers could escalate or shift dynamics in this tactically vital area.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$60,417 交易量
4月30日
17%
$60,417 交易量
4月30日
17%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Mar 26, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces captured Uspenivka, a small village in Zaporizhia Oblast's Hulyaipole sector, in December 2024 after prolonged assaults, consolidating gains amid broader Donetsk frontline pressure. In the past month, Ukrainian troops advanced to the outskirts by mid-March 2026, clearing high ground west and northeast of the settlement before striking a Russian ammunition depot inside Uspenivka on March 30, per geolocated footage from Ukrainian 423rd Brigade. Fighting remains intense with control contested; no verified full Ukrainian re-entry as of early April. Traders monitor DeepStateMap updates, ISW assessments, and official claims, as Russia's anticipated spring offensive and Ukrainian counter-maneuvers could escalate or shift dynamics in this tactically vital area.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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