President-elect Trump's emphasis on swift peace negotiations with Russia over escalated arms shipments anchors trader consensus against Tomahawk missiles reaching Ukraine soon, with Yes shares trading at low implied probabilities. His campaign rhetoric and incoming appointees like Marco Rubio signal prioritization of ending the conflict via diplomacy rather than naval-launched cruise missiles, diverging from Biden's ATACMS permissions. Recent Ukraine-Russia frontline stalemates and Zelenskyy's aid pleas add pressure, but no official Trump commitments exist. Key upcoming events include January 20 inauguration, initial NSC briefings, and potential congressional funding debates, any of which could pivot sentiment amid inherent geopolitical uncertainties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$591,416 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
分组项标题：2026年3月31日
1%
$591,416 交易量
分组项标题：2026年3月31日
$90,994 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.
For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.
For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.
For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.
For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.
For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.
For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.
A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.
For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.
市场开放时间： Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ET
交易量
$591,416结束日期
Dec 31, 2025市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.
For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.
For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.
For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.
For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.
交易量
$591,416结束日期
Dec 31, 2025市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President-elect Trump's emphasis on swift peace negotiations with Russia over escalated arms shipments anchors trader consensus against Tomahawk missiles reaching Ukraine soon, with Yes shares trading at low implied probabilities. His campaign rhetoric and incoming appointees like Marco Rubio signal prioritization of ending the conflict via diplomacy rather than naval-launched cruise missiles, diverging from Biden's ATACMS permissions. Recent Ukraine-Russia frontline stalemates and Zelenskyy's aid pleas add pressure, but no official Trump commitments exist. Key upcoming events include January 20 inauguration, initial NSC briefings, and potential congressional funding debates, any of which could pivot sentiment amid inherent geopolitical uncertainties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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