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特朗普是否会在2027年之前削减公司税?

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特朗普是否会在2027年之前削减公司税?

Dec 31

Dec 31

10% chance
Polymarket
NEW

10% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used. Trader consensus prices "No" at 82.5% on Trump cutting corporate taxes before 2027, reflecting the July 2025 passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act via budget reconciliation, which permanently extended 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions—including preservation of the 21% corporate rate—but omitted further reductions like the proposed 15% despite campaign pledges. With Republican majorities narrowly advancing that megabill amid debt ceiling pressures and spending offsets, no subsequent legislation has materialized by March 2026, as fiscal hawks prioritize tariffs and deficit reduction over new rate cuts. Upcoming midterm elections and appropriations battles further dim prospects for additional tax reform within the timeline.

Trader consensus prices "No" at 82.5% on Trump cutting corporate taxes before 2027, reflecting the July 2025 passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act via budget reconciliation, which permanently extended 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions—including preservation of the 21% corporate rate—but omitted further reductions like the proposed 15% despite campaign pledges. With Republican majorities narrowly advancing that megabill amid debt ceiling pressures and spending offsets, no subsequent legislation has materialized by March 2026, as fiscal hawks prioritize tariffs and deficit reduction over new rate cuts. Upcoming midterm elections and appropriations battles further dim prospects for additional tax reform within the timeline.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used. Trader consensus prices "No" at 82.5% on Trump cutting corporate taxes before 2027, reflecting the July 2025 passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act via budget reconciliation, which permanently extended 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions—including preservation of the 21% corporate rate—but omitted further reductions like the proposed 15% despite campaign pledges. With Republican majorities narrowly advancing that megabill amid debt ceiling pressures and spending offsets, no subsequent legislation has materialized by March 2026, as fiscal hawks prioritize tariffs and deficit reduction over new rate cuts. Upcoming midterm elections and appropriations battles further dim prospects for additional tax reform within the timeline.

Trader consensus prices "No" at 82.5% on Trump cutting corporate taxes before 2027, reflecting the July 2025 passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act via budget reconciliation, which permanently extended 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions—including preservation of the 21% corporate rate—but omitted further reductions like the proposed 15% despite campaign pledges. With Republican majorities narrowly advancing that megabill amid debt ceiling pressures and spending offsets, no subsequent legislation has materialized by March 2026, as fiscal hawks prioritize tariffs and deficit reduction over new rate cuts. Upcoming midterm elections and appropriations battles further dim prospects for additional tax reform within the timeline.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"特朗普是否会在2027年之前削减公司税?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"特朗普会在2027年前削减公司税吗?",概率为 18%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 18¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 18%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"特朗普是否会在2027年之前削减公司税?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Nov 5, 2025上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"特朗普是否会在2027年之前削减公司税?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"特朗普是否会在2027年之前削减公司税?"的当前领先者是"特朗普会在2027年前削减公司税吗?",概率为 18%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 18%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"特朗普是否会在2027年之前削减公司税?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。