Recent polls reflect trader consensus favoring Benjamin Netanyahu at 43.5% for next prime minister after Israel's scheduled October 2026 Knesset election, with Likud projected at 27-28 seats as the largest party despite no poll boost from the ongoing Iran war. Naftali Bennett holds second at 24% amid his party's 15-20 seat projections, while Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar surges to third at 17.6% after overtaking Bennett in a March 19 Zman Yisrael survey (16 vs. 15 seats), signaling rising opposition momentum. Blocs remain deadlocked near 51-59 seats, short of the 61-seat majority, with coalition budget passage by March 31 averting snap elections and upcoming preference polls showing Netanyahu leading head-to-head matchups 40-53%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于本杰明·内塔尼亚胡 44%
分组项标题：纳夫塔利·贝内特 24%
加迪·埃岑科特 17.6%
分组项标题：Yair Lapid 2.9%
$3,645,741 交易量
$3,645,741 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
本杰明·内塔尼亚胡
44%
分组项标题：纳夫塔利·贝内特
24%
加迪·埃岑科特
18%
分组项标题：Yair Lapid
3%
本尼·甘茨
2%
分组项标题：Avigdor Lieberman
2%
亚里夫·列文
2%
分组项标题：伊塔马尔·本-吉维尔
1%
亚伊尔·戈兰
1%
吉迪恩·萨尔
1%
尤西·科恩
1%
艾耶莱特·沙克德
1%
约阿兹·亨德尔
<1%
摩西·费格林
<1%
本杰明·内塔尼亚胡 44%
分组项标题：纳夫塔利·贝内特 24%
加迪·埃岑科特 17.6%
分组项标题：Yair Lapid 2.9%
$3,645,741 交易量
$3,645,741 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
本杰明·内塔尼亚胡
$450,421 交易量
44%
分组项标题：纳夫塔利·贝内特
$781,965 交易量
24%
加迪·埃岑科特
$492,666 交易量
18%
分组项标题：Yair Lapid
$296,853 交易量
3%
本尼·甘茨
$174,921 交易量
2%
分组项标题：Avigdor Lieberman
$328,266 交易量
2%
亚里夫·列文
$108,409 交易量
2%
分组项标题：伊塔马尔·本-吉维尔
$109,698 交易量
1%
亚伊尔·戈兰
$249,618 交易量
1%
吉迪恩·萨尔
$0 交易量
1%
尤西·科恩
$332,202 交易量
1%
艾耶莱特·沙克德
$64,730 交易量
1%
约阿兹·亨德尔
$0 交易量
<1%
摩西·费格林
$255,991 交易量
<1%
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polls reflect trader consensus favoring Benjamin Netanyahu at 43.5% for next prime minister after Israel's scheduled October 2026 Knesset election, with Likud projected at 27-28 seats as the largest party despite no poll boost from the ongoing Iran war. Naftali Bennett holds second at 24% amid his party's 15-20 seat projections, while Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar surges to third at 17.6% after overtaking Bennett in a March 19 Zman Yisrael survey (16 vs. 15 seats), signaling rising opposition momentum. Blocs remain deadlocked near 51-59 seats, short of the 61-seat majority, with coalition budget passage by March 31 averting snap elections and upcoming preference polls showing Netanyahu leading head-to-head matchups 40-53%.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET
交易量
$3,645,741结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polls reflect trader consensus favoring Benjamin Netanyahu at 43.5% for next prime minister after Israel's scheduled October 2026 Knesset election, with Likud projected at 27-28 seats as the largest party despite no poll boost from the ongoing Iran war. Naftali Bennett holds second at 24% amid his party's 15-20 seat projections, while Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar surges to third at 17.6% after overtaking Bennett in a March 19 Zman Yisrael survey (16 vs. 15 seats), signaling rising opposition momentum. Blocs remain deadlocked near 51-59 seats, short of the 61-seat majority, with coalition budget passage by March 31 averting snap elections and upcoming preference polls showing Netanyahu leading head-to-head matchups 40-53%.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,645,741结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls reflect trader consensus favoring Benjamin Netanyahu at 43.5% for next prime minister after Israel's scheduled October 2026 Knesset election, with Likud projected at 27-28 seats as the largest party despite no poll boost from the ongoing Iran war. Naftali Bennett holds second at 24% amid his party's 15-20 seat projections, while Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar surges to third at 17.6% after overtaking Bennett in a March 19 Zman Yisrael survey (16 vs. 15 seats), signaling rising opposition momentum. Blocs remain deadlocked near 51-59 seats, short of the 61-seat majority, with coalition budget passage by March 31 averting snap elections and upcoming preference polls showing Netanyahu leading head-to-head matchups 40-53%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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