President Trump's formal nomination of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh on March 4 to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed Chair, whose term ends May 15, underpins his commanding 95% trader consensus, reflecting GOP Senate majority dynamics and Warsh's crisis-era experience from 2006–2011. Recent Senate Banking Committee advancement remains stalled by Sen. Thom Tillis's hold pending DOJ probe resolution into Powell's $2.5 billion Fed renovation, with March 27 reports citing an impasse amid Iran war escalation and inflation pressures. Powell affirmed March 18 he would serve as chair pro tem if unconfirmed. Confirmation hearings and votes loom; realistic challenges include prolonged delays, probe fallout, or geopolitical shocks prompting withdrawal or interim continuity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于凯文·沃什 95.1%
朱迪·谢尔顿 1.7%
米歇尔·鲍曼 1.1%
杰罗姆·鲍威尔 <1%
$14,858,073 交易量
$14,858,073 交易量
Oct 31, 2026
凯文·沃什
95%
朱迪·谢尔顿
2%
凯文·哈塞特
<1%
克里斯托弗·沃勒
<1%
杰罗姆·鲍威尔
1%
斯蒂芬·米兰
<1%
斯科特·贝森特
<1%
Rick Reider
1%
米歇尔·鲍曼
1%
凯文·沃什 95.1%
朱迪·谢尔顿 1.7%
米歇尔·鲍曼 1.1%
杰罗姆·鲍威尔 <1%
$14,858,073 交易量
$14,858,073 交易量
Oct 31, 2026
凯文·沃什
$2,555,763 交易量
95%
朱迪·谢尔顿
$6,700,168 交易量
2%
凯文·哈塞特
$552,246 交易量
<1%
克里斯托弗·沃勒
$474,217 交易量
<1%
杰罗姆·鲍威尔
$727,592 交易量
1%
斯蒂芬·米兰
$476,683 交易量
<1%
斯科特·贝森特
$1,378,572 交易量
<1%
Rick Reider
$523,757 交易量
1%
米歇尔·鲍曼
$1,469,272 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's formal nomination of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh on March 4 to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed Chair, whose term ends May 15, underpins his commanding 95% trader consensus, reflecting GOP Senate majority dynamics and Warsh's crisis-era experience from 2006–2011. Recent Senate Banking Committee advancement remains stalled by Sen. Thom Tillis's hold pending DOJ probe resolution into Powell's $2.5 billion Fed renovation, with March 27 reports citing an impasse amid Iran war escalation and inflation pressures. Powell affirmed March 18 he would serve as chair pro tem if unconfirmed. Confirmation hearings and votes loom; realistic challenges include prolonged delays, probe fallout, or geopolitical shocks prompting withdrawal or interim continuity.
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
交易量
$14,858,073结束日期
Oct 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's formal nomination of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh on March 4 to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed Chair, whose term ends May 15, underpins his commanding 95% trader consensus, reflecting GOP Senate majority dynamics and Warsh's crisis-era experience from 2006–2011. Recent Senate Banking Committee advancement remains stalled by Sen. Thom Tillis's hold pending DOJ probe resolution into Powell's $2.5 billion Fed renovation, with March 27 reports citing an impasse amid Iran war escalation and inflation pressures. Powell affirmed March 18 he would serve as chair pro tem if unconfirmed. Confirmation hearings and votes loom; realistic challenges include prolonged delays, probe fallout, or geopolitical shocks prompting withdrawal or interim continuity.
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$14,858,073结束日期
Oct 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump's formal nomination of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh on March 4 to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed Chair, whose term ends May 15, underpins his commanding 95% trader consensus, reflecting GOP Senate majority dynamics and Warsh's crisis-era experience from 2006–2011. Recent Senate Banking Committee advancement remains stalled by Sen. Thom Tillis's hold pending DOJ probe resolution into Powell's $2.5 billion Fed renovation, with March 27 reports citing an impasse amid Iran war escalation and inflation pressures. Powell affirmed March 18 he would serve as chair pro tem if unconfirmed. Confirmation hearings and votes loom; realistic challenges include prolonged delays, probe fallout, or geopolitical shocks prompting withdrawal or interim continuity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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