President Trump's March 27 urging of Saudi Arabia to join the Abraham Accords at the Future Investment Initiative—tying normalization to U.S. defense pacts amid eased Iran tensions post-2023-2025 regional war—has heightened trader focus on Riyadh, despite its insistence on a Palestinian state pathway. Somaliland leads trader consensus after Israel's December 2025 recognition as sovereign and Hargeisa's pledges to accede, backed by UAE-brokered ties and planned high-level visits. Kazakhstan's November 2025 formal accession underscores expansion momentum under the second Trump administration. Upcoming White House summits with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Gulf de-escalation signal potential catalysts for Oman, Syria, or others before year-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$332,540 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
索马里兰
30%
科威特
16%
沙特阿拉伯
21%
叙利亚
19%
黎巴嫩
20%
阿塞拜疆
17%
阿曼
15%
$332,540 交易量
索马里兰
$44,908 交易量
30%
科威特
$1,040 交易量
16%
沙特阿拉伯
$47,421 交易量
21%
叙利亚
$110,357 交易量
19%
黎巴嫩
$0 交易量
20%
阿塞拜疆
$28,268 交易量
17%
阿曼
$100,546 交易量
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's March 27 urging of Saudi Arabia to join the Abraham Accords at the Future Investment Initiative—tying normalization to U.S. defense pacts amid eased Iran tensions post-2023-2025 regional war—has heightened trader focus on Riyadh, despite its insistence on a Palestinian state pathway. Somaliland leads trader consensus after Israel's December 2025 recognition as sovereign and Hargeisa's pledges to accede, backed by UAE-brokered ties and planned high-level visits. Kazakhstan's November 2025 formal accession underscores expansion momentum under the second Trump administration. Upcoming White House summits with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Gulf de-escalation signal potential catalysts for Oman, Syria, or others before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
交易量
$332,540结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's March 27 urging of Saudi Arabia to join the Abraham Accords at the Future Investment Initiative—tying normalization to U.S. defense pacts amid eased Iran tensions post-2023-2025 regional war—has heightened trader focus on Riyadh, despite its insistence on a Palestinian state pathway. Somaliland leads trader consensus after Israel's December 2025 recognition as sovereign and Hargeisa's pledges to accede, backed by UAE-brokered ties and planned high-level visits. Kazakhstan's November 2025 formal accession underscores expansion momentum under the second Trump administration. Upcoming White House summits with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Gulf de-escalation signal potential catalysts for Oman, Syria, or others before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$332,540结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's March 27 urging of Saudi Arabia to join the Abraham Accords at the Future Investment Initiative—tying normalization to U.S. defense pacts amid eased Iran tensions post-2023-2025 regional war—has heightened trader focus on Riyadh, despite its insistence on a Palestinian state pathway. Somaliland leads trader consensus after Israel's December 2025 recognition as sovereign and Hargeisa's pledges to accede, backed by UAE-brokered ties and planned high-level visits. Kazakhstan's November 2025 formal accession underscores expansion momentum under the second Trump administration. Upcoming White House summits with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Gulf de-escalation signal potential catalysts for Oman, Syria, or others before year-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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