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哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议?

Market icon

哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$289,538 交易量

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$289,538 交易量

Polymarket

索马里兰

$42,369 交易量

38%

沙特阿拉伯

$26,698 交易量

28%

阿塞拜疆

$22,316 交易量

25%

科威特

$834 交易量

21%

阿曼

$93,532 交易量

16%

叙利亚

$103,365 交易量

16%

黎巴嫩

$424 交易量

10%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$289,538
结束日期
Dec 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "索马里兰" at 38%, followed by "沙特阿拉伯" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议?" has generated $289.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议?" is "索马里兰" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "沙特阿拉伯" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.