The Abraham Accords' potential expansion remains stalled by the ongoing Israel-Hamas war in Gaza, triggered by the October 2023 attack, which halted US-brokered normalization talks with Saudi Arabia—the leading candidate due to prior negotiations linking Riyadh's entry to Israeli security guarantees and Palestinian statehood progress. President-elect Trump's November 2024 victory, as the original accords' architect, has revived trader optimism for Saudi or secondary prospects like Indonesia under President Prabowo, who expressed openness. Upcoming catalysts include Trump's January 2025 inauguration, potential Riyadh summits, and Gaza ceasefire efforts, though Arab domestic politics and Israeli-Palestinian tensions create substantial barriers to any pre-2027 joiners.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$73,056 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
索马里兰
32%
沙特阿拉伯
19%
叙利亚
19%
阿塞拜疆
17%
黎巴嫩
15%
阿曼
15%
科威特
15%
$73,056 交易量
索马里兰
$44,903 交易量
32%
沙特阿拉伯
$0 交易量
19%
叙利亚
$0 交易量
19%
阿塞拜疆
$28,154 交易量
17%
黎巴嫩
$0 交易量
15%
阿曼
$0 交易量
15%
科威特
$0 交易量
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.The Abraham Accords' potential expansion remains stalled by the ongoing Israel-Hamas war in Gaza, triggered by the October 2023 attack, which halted US-brokered normalization talks with Saudi Arabia—the leading candidate due to prior negotiations linking Riyadh's entry to Israeli security guarantees and Palestinian statehood progress. President-elect Trump's November 2024 victory, as the original accords' architect, has revived trader optimism for Saudi or secondary prospects like Indonesia under President Prabowo, who expressed openness. Upcoming catalysts include Trump's January 2025 inauguration, potential Riyadh summits, and Gaza ceasefire efforts, though Arab domestic politics and Israeli-Palestinian tensions create substantial barriers to any pre-2027 joiners.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
交易量
$73,056结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.The Abraham Accords' potential expansion remains stalled by the ongoing Israel-Hamas war in Gaza, triggered by the October 2023 attack, which halted US-brokered normalization talks with Saudi Arabia—the leading candidate due to prior negotiations linking Riyadh's entry to Israeli security guarantees and Palestinian statehood progress. President-elect Trump's November 2024 victory, as the original accords' architect, has revived trader optimism for Saudi or secondary prospects like Indonesia under President Prabowo, who expressed openness. Upcoming catalysts include Trump's January 2025 inauguration, potential Riyadh summits, and Gaza ceasefire efforts, though Arab domestic politics and Israeli-Palestinian tensions create substantial barriers to any pre-2027 joiners.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$73,056结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Abraham Accords' potential expansion remains stalled by the ongoing Israel-Hamas war in Gaza, triggered by the October 2023 attack, which halted US-brokered normalization talks with Saudi Arabia—the leading candidate due to prior negotiations linking Riyadh's entry to Israeli security guarantees and Palestinian statehood progress. President-elect Trump's November 2024 victory, as the original accords' architect, has revived trader optimism for Saudi or secondary prospects like Indonesia under President Prabowo, who expressed openness. Upcoming catalysts include Trump's January 2025 inauguration, potential Riyadh summits, and Gaza ceasefire efforts, though Arab domestic politics and Israeli-Palestinian tensions create substantial barriers to any pre-2027 joiners.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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