Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 78%, driven by stalled peace negotiations and Putin's refusal to engage directly since 2019 amid ongoing hostilities in Ukraine. Recent developments, including Zelenskyy's March 31 offer of an Easter ceasefire relayed via US mediators and Russia's 60-day ultimatum for Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas, underscore irreconcilable demands without progress toward a summit venue. Trilateral Ukraine-US-Russia talks remain delayed over location disputes, while Zelenskyy pushes for leader-level dialogue. Lower probabilities for neutral sites like Qatar/UAE (3.1%) or US (2.9%) reflect historical mediation failures in Turkey and Saudi Arabia, with no scheduled diplomatic breakthroughs offsetting military escalations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2027年前不会会面 78%
卡塔尔 / 阿联酋 3.1%
美国 2.9%
匈牙利 2.1%
$1,685,961 交易量
$1,685,961 交易量

2027年前不会会面
78%

卡塔尔 / 阿联酋
3%

美国
3%

匈牙利
2%

土耳其
2%

Russia
2%

沙特阿拉伯
2%

瑞士
2%

中国
1%

白俄罗斯
1%

印度
1%

分组项标题:意大利 / 梵蒂冈
1%

乌克兰
1%

哈萨克斯坦
1%
2027年前不会会面 78%
卡塔尔 / 阿联酋 3.1%
美国 2.9%
匈牙利 2.1%
$1,685,961 交易量
$1,685,961 交易量

2027年前不会会面
78%

卡塔尔 / 阿联酋
3%

美国
3%

匈牙利
2%

土耳其
2%

Russia
2%

沙特阿拉伯
2%

瑞士
2%

中国
1%

白俄罗斯
1%

印度
1%

分组项标题:意大利 / 梵蒂冈
1%

乌克兰
1%

哈萨克斯坦
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 78%, driven by stalled peace negotiations and Putin's refusal to engage directly since 2019 amid ongoing hostilities in Ukraine. Recent developments, including Zelenskyy's March 31 offer of an Easter ceasefire relayed via US mediators and Russia's 60-day ultimatum for Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas, underscore irreconcilable demands without progress toward a summit venue. Trilateral Ukraine-US-Russia talks remain delayed over location disputes, while Zelenskyy pushes for leader-level dialogue. Lower probabilities for neutral sites like Qatar/UAE (3.1%) or US (2.9%) reflect historical mediation failures in Turkey and Saudi Arabia, with no scheduled diplomatic breakthroughs offsetting military escalations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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