Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 81%, driven by the persistent deadlock in US-mediated peace talks, including February's trilateral envoy meetings in Geneva that excluded direct leader-level engagement despite Zelenskyy's public push for a face-to-face summit on territorial disputes. Recent developments, such as Zelenskyy's March 31 offer for an Easter truce relayed via US mediators and Russia's two-month Donbas withdrawal demand, underscore ongoing recriminations and precondition standoffs, with Putin inviting Zelenskyy to Moscow under safety guarantees unmet by reciprocal steps. Neutral venues like Turkey (2.4%) and the US (2.4%) attract minor probabilities from prior mediation precedents, but battlefield stalemate and trust deficits keep alternatives below 3%, highlighting uncertainty in escalation or de-escalation signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2027年前不会会面 82%
土耳其 2.4%
美国 2.4%
卡塔尔 / 阿联酋 2.3%
$1,886,302 交易量
$1,886,302 交易量

2027年前不会会面
82%

土耳其
2%

美国
2%

卡塔尔 / 阿联酋
2%

Russia
2%

沙特阿拉伯
2%

匈牙利
1%

瑞士
1%

白俄罗斯
1%

中国
1%

乌克兰
1%

印度
1%

分组项标题:意大利 / 梵蒂冈
1%

哈萨克斯坦
1%
2027年前不会会面 82%
土耳其 2.4%
美国 2.4%
卡塔尔 / 阿联酋 2.3%
$1,886,302 交易量
$1,886,302 交易量

2027年前不会会面
82%

土耳其
2%

美国
2%

卡塔尔 / 阿联酋
2%

Russia
2%

沙特阿拉伯
2%

匈牙利
1%

瑞士
1%

白俄罗斯
1%

中国
1%

乌克兰
1%

印度
1%

分组项标题:意大利 / 梵蒂冈
1%

哈萨克斯坦
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 81%, driven by the persistent deadlock in US-mediated peace talks, including February's trilateral envoy meetings in Geneva that excluded direct leader-level engagement despite Zelenskyy's public push for a face-to-face summit on territorial disputes. Recent developments, such as Zelenskyy's March 31 offer for an Easter truce relayed via US mediators and Russia's two-month Donbas withdrawal demand, underscore ongoing recriminations and precondition standoffs, with Putin inviting Zelenskyy to Moscow under safety guarantees unmet by reciprocal steps. Neutral venues like Turkey (2.4%) and the US (2.4%) attract minor probabilities from prior mediation precedents, but battlefield stalemate and trust deficits keep alternatives below 3%, highlighting uncertainty in escalation or de-escalation signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题