Market icon

What will Trump say in March?

Market icon

What will Trump say in March?

$1,232,577 交易量

2026-03-31
Polymarket

$1,232,577 交易量

Polymarket

Big Fat Cat

$2,239 交易量

No

N Word

$58,292 交易量

No

Hottest Nation

$12,482 交易量

No

Little Rocket Man

$3,240 交易量

No

China Virus / Wuhan Lab

$3,776 交易量

No

Low Energy

$7,787 交易量

No

Aliens are Real

$13,233 交易量

No

Kanye / Taylor Swift

$3,228 交易量

No

Banana Republic

$1,783 交易量

No

Barack Hussein Obama

$11,314 交易量

Yes

Bitcoin

$9,622 交易量

Yes

Judy Shelton

$2,869 交易量

No

Data Center

$0 交易量

Yes

Midnight Hammer

$16,634 交易量

Yes

Secret Word

$499 交易量

No

Debate

$0 交易量

Yes

Drill Baby Drill

$0 交易量

Yes

Charlie Kirk

$6,507 交易量

No

War On Fraud

$753 交易量

No

Lonely

$0 交易量

Yes

Coward

$6,430 交易量

No

Capital of the World

$1,840 交易量

No

UFC Fight

$2,214 交易量

No

Easter

$0 交易量

Yes

Liberation Day

$2,390 交易量

No

Pulitzer Prize

$0 交易量

Yes

Snake

$8,595 交易量

Yes

Sudan

$1,649 交易量

No

Truth Social

$6,352 交易量

No

Escalator

$1,157 交易量

Yes

Erika Kirk

$1,047 交易量

No

Third term

$1,046,647 交易量

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's verbal mentions of specific phrases during public events from March 1 to 31, 2026—including the March 3 meeting with Chancellor Merz, March 9 press conference, March 25 NRCC dinner, March 26 cabinet meeting, March 27 FII Priority Summit, and March 31 executive order signing—drive current trader consensus in this multi-outcome market. With the timeframe closed, prices reflect verified audio or video evidence, confirming Yes for phrases like "Barack Hussein Obama" and "Bitcoin" at full payout levels, while resolving No for others such as "N Word." Disputes, like an incomplete "third term" clip, remain under review by market resolvers, underscoring the focus on exact phrasing excluding written posts or AI content. Final resolutions could shift minor holdouts amid ongoing evidence submissions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
交易量
$1,232,577
结束日期
2026-03-31
市场开放时间
Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's verbal mentions of specific phrases during public events from March 1 to 31, 2026—including the March 3 meeting with Chancellor Merz, March 9 press conference, March 25 NRCC dinner, March 26 cabinet meeting, March 27 FII Priority Summit, and March 31 executive order signing—drive current trader consensus in this multi-outcome market. With the timeframe closed, prices reflect verified audio or video evidence, confirming Yes for phrases like "Barack Hussein Obama" and "Bitcoin" at full payout levels, while resolving No for others such as "N Word." Disputes, like an incomplete "third term" clip, remain under review by market resolvers, underscoring the focus on exact phrasing excluding written posts or AI content. Final resolutions could shift minor holdouts amid ongoing evidence submissions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
交易量
$1,232,577
结束日期
2026-03-31
市场开放时间
Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"What will Trump say in March?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 32 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Barack Hussein Obama",概率为 100%,其次是"Bitcoin",概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"What will Trump say in March?"已产生 $1.2 million 的总交易量(自Feb 26, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"What will Trump say in March?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 32 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"What will Trump say in March?"的当前领先者是"Barack Hussein Obama",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Bitcoin",概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"What will Trump say in March?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。