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特朗普会在国情咨文演讲中说些什么?

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特朗普会在国情咨文演讲中说些什么?

$3,412,380 交易量

Jan 31, 2026
Polymarket

$3,412,380 交易量

Polymarket

America / American 超过50次

$253,722 交易量

America / American 超过25次

$344,560 交易量

“工作”超过20次

$118,366 交易量

百万 / 十亿 / 万亿 超过15次

$159,242 交易量

拜登10次以上

$325,541 交易量

边境 7 次以上

$50,581 交易量

石油/天然气 3次以上

$34,362 交易量

AI / 人工智能 两次以上

$74,982 交易量

卡马拉 / 哈里斯

$47,442 交易量

最热

$84,491 交易量

肯尼迪 / 自闭症

$21,892 交易量

中东

$40,063 交易量

加密货币 / 比特币

$330,713 交易量

以色列 / 加沙

$51,940 交易量

MAGA / 让美国再次伟大

$37,961 交易量

黑人 / 西班牙裔

$25,997 交易量

金卡 / 王牌

$43,826 交易量

国情良好

$498,637 交易量

爱泼斯坦

$123,792 交易量

议长先生

$38,384 交易量

$46,373 交易量

骗局 / 恶作剧

$11,638 交易量

煤炭

$27,237 交易量

六七

$93,163 交易量

不要 不要 不要

$22,623 交易量

诺贝尔 / 和平奖

$54,134 交易量

太晚了

$25,881 交易量

花生

$16,638 交易量

饼干

$10,686 交易量

智商

$23,990 交易量

类固醇

$8,987 交易量

外星人

$68,903 交易量

芬太尼 / 可卡因

$7,317 交易量

奥林匹克 / 奥运会

$36,044 交易量

最高法院

$11,027 交易量

$19,312 交易量

Drill Baby Drill

$17,304 交易量

礼来制药

$5,746 交易量

Autopen / Auto Pen

$10,211 交易量

UFC

$19,812 交易量

假新闻

$27,451 交易量

冰球

$104,456 交易量

奇迹

$31,395 交易量

世界之都

$5,559 交易量

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,412,380
结束日期
Feb 24, 2026
市场开放时间
Feb 23, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普会在国情咨文演讲中说些什么?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "America / American 超过50次" at 100%, followed by "America / American 超过25次" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "特朗普会在国情咨文演讲中说些什么?" has generated $3.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "特朗普会在国情咨文演讲中说些什么?," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "特朗普会在国情咨文演讲中说些什么?" is "America / American 超过50次" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "America / American 超过25次" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "特朗普会在国情咨文演讲中说些什么?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.