Amid the US-Israel war with Iran that erupted on February 28, 2026, with surprise airstrikes on Iranian sites, recent US and Israeli bombings in Tehran and Isfahan on March 28 have intensified escalation risks. Iran has retaliated with missile barrages on Israel, strikes wounding US troops at a Saudi base, and threats to Gulf energy infrastructure following Trump's ultimatum on power plants, which he extended while holding off attacks. Tehran is reviewing a US 15-point ceasefire proposal amid demands for Strait of Hormuz control and reparations, but IRGC mobilizations signal readiness for further action by March 31. Traders weigh diplomatic breakthroughs against ongoing airstrikes and proxy threats in determining likely Iranian targets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$449,299 交易量
迪莫纳（希蒙·佩雷斯内盖夫核研究中心）
3%
哈利法塔
3%
盖瓦尔油田
9%
萨法尼亚油田
9%
阿布盖格油气处理设施
11%
祖尔炼油厂
11%
Leviathan Field
8%
Khurais Field
11%
拉斯塔努拉
11%
East–West Pipeline
8%
哈布尚油田/加工综合体
12%
Ras Laffan Industrial City
25%
$449,299 交易量
迪莫纳（希蒙·佩雷斯内盖夫核研究中心）
$250,945 交易量
3%
哈利法塔
$1,339 交易量
3%
盖瓦尔油田
$30,351 交易量
9%
萨法尼亚油田
$39,777 交易量
9%
阿布盖格油气处理设施
$38,986 交易量
11%
祖尔炼油厂
$73,646 交易量
11%
Leviathan Field
$796 交易量
8%
Khurais Field
$4,333 交易量
11%
拉斯塔努拉
$4,290 交易量
11%
East–West Pipeline
$1,306 交易量
8%
哈布尚油田/加工综合体
$0 交易量
12%
Ras Laffan Industrial City
$3,530 交易量
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed city/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed pipeline/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.Amid the US-Israel war with Iran that erupted on February 28, 2026, with surprise airstrikes on Iranian sites, recent US and Israeli bombings in Tehran and Isfahan on March 28 have intensified escalation risks. Iran has retaliated with missile barrages on Israel, strikes wounding US troops at a Saudi base, and threats to Gulf energy infrastructure following Trump's ultimatum on power plants, which he extended while holding off attacks. Tehran is reviewing a US 15-point ceasefire proposal amid demands for Strait of Hormuz control and reparations, but IRGC mobilizations signal readiness for further action by March 31. Traders weigh diplomatic breakthroughs against ongoing airstrikes and proxy threats in determining likely Iranian targets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed pipeline/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
市场开放时间： Mar 20, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
交易量
$449,299市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed city/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed pipeline/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.Amid the US-Israel war with Iran that erupted on February 28, 2026, with surprise airstrikes on Iranian sites, recent US and Israeli bombings in Tehran and Isfahan on March 28 have intensified escalation risks. Iran has retaliated with missile barrages on Israel, strikes wounding US troops at a Saudi base, and threats to Gulf energy infrastructure following Trump's ultimatum on power plants, which he extended while holding off attacks. Tehran is reviewing a US 15-point ceasefire proposal amid demands for Strait of Hormuz control and reparations, but IRGC mobilizations signal readiness for further action by March 31. Traders weigh diplomatic breakthroughs against ongoing airstrikes and proxy threats in determining likely Iranian targets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed pipeline/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
交易量
$449,299市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid the US-Israel war with Iran that erupted on February 28, 2026, with surprise airstrikes on Iranian sites, recent US and Israeli bombings in Tehran and Isfahan on March 28 have intensified escalation risks. Iran has retaliated with missile barrages on Israel, strikes wounding US troops at a Saudi base, and threats to Gulf energy infrastructure following Trump's ultimatum on power plants, which he extended while holding off attacks. Tehran is reviewing a US 15-point ceasefire proposal amid demands for Strait of Hormuz control and reparations, but IRGC mobilizations signal readiness for further action by March 31. Traders weigh diplomatic breakthroughs against ongoing airstrikes and proxy threats in determining likely Iranian targets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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