2026年3月前(美东时间) 100.0%
3月1日 <1%
3月2日 <1%
3月3日 <1%
$19,084,082 交易量
$19,084,082 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
2026年3月前(美东时间)
是
3月1日
否
3月2日
否
3月3日
否
3月4日
否
3月5日
否
3月6日
否
3月7日
否
3月8日
否
3月9日
否
3月10日
否
3月11日
否
3月12日
否
3月13日
否
3月14日
否
3月15日
否
3月16日
否
3月17日
否
3月18日
否
3月19日
否
3月20日
否
3月21日
否
3月22日
否
3月23日
否
3月24日
否
3月25日
否
3月26日
否
3月27日
否
3月28日
否
3月29日
否
3月30日
否
3月31日
否
截至3月31日不进行打击
否
2026年3月前(美东时间) 100.0%
3月1日 <1%
3月2日 <1%
3月3日 <1%
$19,084,082 交易量
$19,084,082 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
2026年3月前(美东时间)
$775,328 交易量
是
3月1日
$3,313,911 交易量
否
3月2日
$1,842,438 交易量
否
3月3日
$1,011,021 交易量
否
3月4日
$789,233 交易量
否
3月5日
$646,979 交易量
否
3月6日
$673,324 交易量
否
3月7日
$561,395 交易量
否
3月8日
$562,546 交易量
否
3月9日
$515,450 交易量
否
3月10日
$418,467 交易量
否
3月11日
$377,029 交易量
否
3月12日
$410,437 交易量
否
3月13日
$373,247 交易量
否
3月14日
$308,735 交易量
否
3月15日
$412,715 交易量
否
3月16日
$342,800 交易量
否
3月17日
$309,066 交易量
否
3月18日
$329,328 交易量
否
3月19日
$360,907 交易量
否
3月20日
$396,814 交易量
否
3月21日
$315,067 交易量
否
3月22日
$361,261 交易量
否
3月23日
$343,755 交易量
否
3月24日
$313,689 交易量
否
3月25日
$302,780 交易量
否
3月26日
$314,445 交易量
否
3月27日
$249,783 交易量
否
3月28日
$260,936 交易量
否
3月29日
$337,810 交易量
否
3月30日
$412,510 交易量
否
3月31日
$796,198 交易量
否
截至3月31日不进行打击
$344,680 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, (ET).
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If no strike could be verified under the prior rule by 48 hours after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No strike by March 31," regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, (ET).
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If no strike could be verified under the prior rule by 48 hours after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No strike by March 31," regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If no strike could be verified under the prior rule by 48 hours after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No strike by March 31," regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Feb 9, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
交易量
$19,084,082结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 9, 2026, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是

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