Everett Jackson's dominant polling lead and superior fundraising position him as the clear TX-30 Republican primary frontrunner, anchoring trader consensus at 63% implied probability for victory. Recent Emerson polling shows him at 45% support versus Sholdon Daniels' 25%, with Daniels' 22% odds reflecting competitive grassroots momentum but resource gaps. Gregor Heise and Nils Walker linger at low-single digits due to minimal visibility and polling. Jackson's fresh endorsement from Texas GOP leaders and a strong debate solidified his edge, while Daniels countered with urban voter outreach; early voting data through March 1 could shift dynamics before the March 5 primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于埃弗雷特·杰克逊 70.0%
谢尔顿·丹尼尔斯 22%
Gregor Heise 4.5%
Nils Walker 3.3%
$18,780 交易量
$18,780 交易量
May 26, 2026
埃弗雷特·杰克逊
63%
谢尔顿·丹尼尔斯
22%
Gregor Heise
4%
Nils Walker
3%
埃弗雷特·杰克逊 70.0%
谢尔顿·丹尼尔斯 22%
Gregor Heise 4.5%
Nils Walker 3.3%
$18,780 交易量
$18,780 交易量
May 26, 2026
埃弗雷特·杰克逊
$0 交易量
63%
谢尔顿·丹尼尔斯
$8,729 交易量
22%
Gregor Heise
$10,051 交易量
4%
Nils Walker
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
交易量
$18,780结束日期
May 26, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$18,780结束日期
May 26, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Everett Jackson's dominant polling lead and superior fundraising position him as the clear TX-30 Republican primary frontrunner, anchoring trader consensus at 63% implied probability for victory. Recent Emerson polling shows him at 45% support versus Sholdon Daniels' 25%, with Daniels' 22% odds reflecting competitive grassroots momentum but resource gaps. Gregor Heise and Nils Walker linger at low-single digits due to minimal visibility and polling. Jackson's fresh endorsement from Texas GOP leaders and a strong debate solidified his edge, while Daniels countered with urban voter outreach; early voting data through March 1 could shift dynamics before the March 5 primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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