Following the March 3 Republican primary where neither cleared 50%, Texas' U.S. Senate GOP runoff on May 26 pits incumbent Sen. John Cornyn against Attorney General Ken Paxton, with trader consensus implying 62.5% odds for Paxton amid his post-primary polling surge. Recent surveys, including Impact Research (Paxton 53%-Cornyn 37%, March 12-17) and GQR (Paxton 47%-42%, March 19-23), reflect Paxton's appeal to the conservative base via his hardline record on border security and opposition to establishment figures, bolstered by CPAC's endorsement. Cornyn's institutional backing and fundraising superiority hold him at 34.5%, but enthusiasm gaps persist; a potential Trump endorsement remains a key wildcard for the closely contested race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于肯·帕克斯顿 63%
分组项标题：约翰·康宁 35%
道恩·班克汉姆 <1%
Beth Van Duyne <1%
$15,118,305 交易量
$15,118,305 交易量
2026-05-26
肯·帕克斯顿
63%
分组项标题：约翰·康宁
35%
道恩·班克汉姆
<1%
Beth Van Duyne
<1%
分组项标题：韦斯利·亨特
<1%
肯·帕克斯顿 63%
分组项标题：约翰·康宁 35%
道恩·班克汉姆 <1%
Beth Van Duyne <1%
$15,118,305 交易量
$15,118,305 交易量
2026-05-26
肯·帕克斯顿
$4,120,705 交易量
63%
分组项标题：约翰·康宁
$3,041,510 交易量
35%
道恩·班克汉姆
$906,200 交易量
<1%
Beth Van Duyne
$5,301,707 交易量
<1%
分组项标题：韦斯利·亨特
$1,748,182 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Following the March 3 Republican primary where neither cleared 50%, Texas' U.S. Senate GOP runoff on May 26 pits incumbent Sen. John Cornyn against Attorney General Ken Paxton, with trader consensus implying 62.5% odds for Paxton amid his post-primary polling surge. Recent surveys, including Impact Research (Paxton 53%-Cornyn 37%, March 12-17) and GQR (Paxton 47%-42%, March 19-23), reflect Paxton's appeal to the conservative base via his hardline record on border security and opposition to establishment figures, bolstered by CPAC's endorsement. Cornyn's institutional backing and fundraising superiority hold him at 34.5%, but enthusiasm gaps persist; a potential Trump endorsement remains a key wildcard for the closely contested race.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间： Jul 10, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
交易量
$15,118,305结束日期
2026-05-26市场开放时间
Jul 10, 2025, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Following the March 3 Republican primary where neither cleared 50%, Texas' U.S. Senate GOP runoff on May 26 pits incumbent Sen. John Cornyn against Attorney General Ken Paxton, with trader consensus implying 62.5% odds for Paxton amid his post-primary polling surge. Recent surveys, including Impact Research (Paxton 53%-Cornyn 37%, March 12-17) and GQR (Paxton 47%-42%, March 19-23), reflect Paxton's appeal to the conservative base via his hardline record on border security and opposition to establishment figures, bolstered by CPAC's endorsement. Cornyn's institutional backing and fundraising superiority hold him at 34.5%, but enthusiasm gaps persist; a potential Trump endorsement remains a key wildcard for the closely contested race.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$15,118,305结束日期
2026-05-26市场开放时间
Jul 10, 2025, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Following the March 3 Republican primary where neither cleared 50%, Texas' U.S. Senate GOP runoff on May 26 pits incumbent Sen. John Cornyn against Attorney General Ken Paxton, with trader consensus implying 62.5% odds for Paxton amid his post-primary polling surge. Recent surveys, including Impact Research (Paxton 53%-Cornyn 37%, March 12-17) and GQR (Paxton 47%-42%, March 19-23), reflect Paxton's appeal to the conservative base via his hardline record on border security and opposition to establishment figures, bolstered by CPAC's endorsement. Cornyn's institutional backing and fundraising superiority hold him at 34.5%, but enthusiasm gaps persist; a potential Trump endorsement remains a key wildcard for the closely contested race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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