Trader consensus on Polymarket prices U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson as a narrow favorite at 44% to win South Dakota's 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary, with businessman Toby Doeden close behind at 39.5%, reflecting a divided GOP electorate lacking a dominant frontrunner. Recent Data for Progress polling from mid-August showed Johnson leading 34%-25% over Doeden, with Lt. Gov. Larry Rhoden at 20%, but Doeden's outsider appeal and aggressive grassroots campaigning have narrowed the gap among conservative voters, while Johnson's fundraising edge—over $1.2 million raised—and establishment endorsements provide stability. The race stays tight due to regional divides and vote-splitting; separation could emerge from high-profile endorsements like Donald Trump's, upcoming debates in early 2025, or fourth-quarter finance reports.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于达斯蒂·约翰逊 45%
托比·多登 40%
拉里·罗登 11%
乔恩·汉森 <1%
$10,616 交易量
$10,616 交易量
Jun 2, 2026
达斯蒂·约翰逊
45%
托比·多登
40%
拉里·罗登
11%
乔恩·汉森
1%
达斯蒂·约翰逊 45%
托比·多登 40%
拉里·罗登 11%
乔恩·汉森 <1%
$10,616 交易量
$10,616 交易量
Jun 2, 2026
达斯蒂·约翰逊
$2,426 交易量
45%
托比·多登
$3,834 交易量
40%
拉里·罗登
$4,355 交易量
11%
乔恩·汉森
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 10, 2025, 11:44 PM ET
交易量
$10,616结束日期
Jun 2, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 10, 2025, 11:44 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$10,616结束日期
Jun 2, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 10, 2025, 11:44 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson as a narrow favorite at 44% to win South Dakota's 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary, with businessman Toby Doeden close behind at 39.5%, reflecting a divided GOP electorate lacking a dominant frontrunner. Recent Data for Progress polling from mid-August showed Johnson leading 34%-25% over Doeden, with Lt. Gov. Larry Rhoden at 20%, but Doeden's outsider appeal and aggressive grassroots campaigning have narrowed the gap among conservative voters, while Johnson's fundraising edge—over $1.2 million raised—and establishment endorsements provide stability. The race stays tight due to regional divides and vote-splitting; separation could emerge from high-profile endorsements like Donald Trump's, upcoming debates in early 2025, or fourth-quarter finance reports.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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