Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% to win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, reflecting his rising profile as HHS Secretary leading the MAHA health reform push, which has energized GOP grassroots amid 2026 midterm positioning and drawn Trump alignment despite his independent background. Vice President J.D. Vance follows at 36.4%, bolstered by incumbency as heir apparent but tempered by advisor frustrations over his Tucker Carlson ties and a March gaffe blaming Trump for high gas prices. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 20.5% share has surged on his handling of the Iran conflict escalation, with Trump privately polling donors on Vance versus Rubio preferences in recent weeks, highlighting a contested early primary field ahead of midterms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于J.D. Vance 36.4%
分组项标题：马科·鲁比奥 20.5%
塔克·卡尔森 5.1%
罗恩·德桑蒂斯 2.8%
$495,378,751 交易量
$495,378,751 交易量
J.D. Vance
36%
分组项标题：马科·鲁比奥
21%
塔克·卡尔森
5%
罗恩·德桑蒂斯
3%
格伦·扬金
2%
唐纳德·特朗普
2%
托马斯·马西
2%
唐纳德·特朗普 Jr.
2%
Rand Paul
1%
塔尔西·加巴德尔
1%
维克·拉马斯瓦米
1%
伊万卡·特朗普
1%
格雷格·艾博特
1%
泰德·克鲁茨
1%
分组项标题：埃隆·马斯克
1%
玛乔里·泰勒·格林
1%
分组项标题：妮基·黑利
1%
罗伯特·F·肯尼迪二世
1%
布赖恩·肯普
1%
分组项标题：马特·盖茨
1%
埃里克·特朗普
1%
莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯
1%
凯蒂·布里特
1%
克里斯蒂·诺姆
1%
分组项标题：汤姆·布雷迪
1%
金·卡戴珊
1%
皮特·赫格塞斯
1%
分组项标题：Elise Stefanik
1%
乔什·霍利
1%
约翰·桑恩
1%
乔·肯特
1%
斯蒂夫·班农
1%
拜伦·唐纳斯
1%
埃里卡·柯克
1%
迈克·彭斯
1%
J.D. Vance 36.4%
分组项标题：马科·鲁比奥 20.5%
塔克·卡尔森 5.1%
罗恩·德桑蒂斯 2.8%
$495,378,751 交易量
$495,378,751 交易量
J.D. Vance
36%
分组项标题：马科·鲁比奥
21%
塔克·卡尔森
5%
罗恩·德桑蒂斯
3%
格伦·扬金
2%
唐纳德·特朗普
2%
托马斯·马西
2%
唐纳德·特朗普 Jr.
2%
Rand Paul
1%
塔尔西·加巴德尔
1%
维克·拉马斯瓦米
1%
伊万卡·特朗普
1%
格雷格·艾博特
1%
泰德·克鲁茨
1%
分组项标题：埃隆·马斯克
1%
玛乔里·泰勒·格林
1%
分组项标题：妮基·黑利
1%
罗伯特·F·肯尼迪二世
1%
布赖恩·肯普
1%
分组项标题：马特·盖茨
1%
埃里克·特朗普
1%
莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯
1%
凯蒂·布里特
1%
克里斯蒂·诺姆
1%
分组项标题：汤姆·布雷迪
1%
金·卡戴珊
1%
皮特·赫格塞斯
1%
分组项标题：Elise Stefanik
1%
乔什·霍利
1%
约翰·桑恩
1%
乔·肯特
1%
斯蒂夫·班农
1%
拜伦·唐纳斯
1%
埃里卡·柯克
1%
迈克·彭斯
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% to win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, reflecting his rising profile as HHS Secretary leading the MAHA health reform push, which has energized GOP grassroots amid 2026 midterm positioning and drawn Trump alignment despite his independent background. Vice President J.D. Vance follows at 36.4%, bolstered by incumbency as heir apparent but tempered by advisor frustrations over his Tucker Carlson ties and a March gaffe blaming Trump for high gas prices. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 20.5% share has surged on his handling of the Iran conflict escalation, with Trump privately polling donors on Vance versus Rubio preferences in recent weeks, highlighting a contested early primary field ahead of midterms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题