JD Vance edges Gavin Newsom as the slim trader favorite for the 2028 presidential election, reflecting his elevated profile as vice president in Donald Trump's incoming administration and strong appeal to the Republican base following the 2024 victory. Newsom's lead among Democrats stems from his prominent California governorship, frequent national media clashes with Trump, and the party's search for a post-Kamala Harris standard-bearer. The razor-thin top odds—under 18%—highlight the market's recognition of profound uncertainty three years out, with 2026 midterms, Trump endorsements, scandals, or polling shifts in swing states poised to create separation among a fragmented field including Marco Rubio and others.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于JD Vance 17.8%
加文·纽瑟姆 17.3%
马尔科·鲁比奥 10.7%
亚历山德里亚·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯 4.7%
$459,419,099 交易量
$459,419,099 交易量
Nov 7, 2028
赚 4% 收益
JD Vance
18%
加文·纽瑟姆
17%
马尔科·鲁比奥
11%
亚历山德里亚·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯
5%
乔恩·奥索夫
4%
分组项标题：塔克·卡尔森
3%
卡马拉·哈里斯
3%
乔什·沙皮罗
2%
唐纳德·特朗普
2%
分组项标题：JB Pritzker
2%
彼得·布蒂吉格
2%
罗恩·德桑蒂斯
2%
道恩·“巨石”强森
2%
安迪·贝塞尔
1%
分组项目标题：伊万卡·特朗普
1%
詹姆斯·塔拉里科
1%
分组项标题：杰米·戴蒙
1%
米歇尔·奥巴马
1%
埃隆·马斯克
1%
分组项标题：格雷琴·惠特默
1%
格雷格·阿博特
1%
托马斯·马西
1%
分组项标题：韦斯·摩尔
1%
唐纳德·特朗普二世
1%
尼基·黑利
1%
罗·卡纳
1%
图尔西·加巴德
1%
分组条目标题：蒂姆·沃尔茨
1%
格伦·杨金
1%
斯蒂芬·史密斯
1%
维克·拉马斯瓦米
1%
分组项标题：Zohran Mamdani
1%
埃里克·特朗普
1%
皮特·海格塞斯
1%
金·卡戴珊
1%
勒布朗·詹姆斯
<1%
JD Vance 17.8%
加文·纽瑟姆 17.3%
马尔科·鲁比奥 10.7%
亚历山德里亚·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯 4.7%
$459,419,099 交易量
$459,419,099 交易量
Nov 7, 2028
赚 4% 收益
JD Vance
$8,995,224 交易量
18%
加文·纽瑟姆
$6,514,347 交易量
17%
马尔科·鲁比奥
$5,179,773 交易量
11%
亚历山德里亚·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯
$10,177,982 交易量
5%
乔恩·奥索夫
$2,760,755 交易量
4%
分组项标题：塔克·卡尔森
$8,486,412 交易量
3%
卡马拉·哈里斯
$6,381,646 交易量
3%
乔什·沙皮罗
$5,208,907 交易量
2%
唐纳德·特朗普
$6,290,752 交易量
2%
分组项标题：JB Pritzker
$8,201,768 交易量
2%
彼得·布蒂吉格
$3,382,133 交易量
2%
罗恩·德桑蒂斯
$5,667,258 交易量
2%
道恩·“巨石”强森
$5,466,258 交易量
2%
安迪·贝塞尔
$14,838,294 交易量
1%
分组项目标题：伊万卡·特朗普
$3,908,567 交易量
1%
詹姆斯·塔拉里科
$3,371,949 交易量
1%
分组项标题：杰米·戴蒙
$6,985,355 交易量
1%
米歇尔·奥巴马
$13,095,241 交易量
1%
埃隆·马斯克
$21,550,566 交易量
1%
分组项标题：格雷琴·惠特默
$7,298,568 交易量
1%
格雷格·阿博特
$31,184,919 交易量
1%
托马斯·马西
$3,188,786 交易量
1%
分组项标题：韦斯·摩尔
$5,441,200 交易量
1%
唐纳德·特朗普二世
$8,255,188 交易量
1%
尼基·黑利
$20,643,356 交易量
1%
罗·卡纳
$5,248,009 交易量
1%
图尔西·加巴德
$26,960,768 交易量
1%
分组条目标题：蒂姆·沃尔茨
$38,094,426 交易量
1%
格伦·杨金
$19,444,239 交易量
1%
斯蒂芬·史密斯
$27,836,778 交易量
1%
维克·拉马斯瓦米
$28,490,886 交易量
1%
分组项标题：Zohran Mamdani
$15,697,225 交易量
1%
埃里克·特朗普
$4,434,907 交易量
1%
皮特·海格塞斯
$1,153,533 交易量
1%
金·卡戴珊
$28,089,929 交易量
1%
勒布朗·詹姆斯
$41,499,217 交易量
<1%
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.JD Vance edges Gavin Newsom as the slim trader favorite for the 2028 presidential election, reflecting his elevated profile as vice president in Donald Trump's incoming administration and strong appeal to the Republican base following the 2024 victory. Newsom's lead among Democrats stems from his prominent California governorship, frequent national media clashes with Trump, and the party's search for a post-Kamala Harris standard-bearer. The razor-thin top odds—under 18%—highlight the market's recognition of profound uncertainty three years out, with 2026 midterms, Trump endorsements, scandals, or polling shifts in swing states poised to create separation among a fragmented field including Marco Rubio and others.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
市场开放时间： Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
交易量
$459,419,099结束日期
Nov 7, 2028市场开放时间
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.JD Vance edges Gavin Newsom as the slim trader favorite for the 2028 presidential election, reflecting his elevated profile as vice president in Donald Trump's incoming administration and strong appeal to the Republican base following the 2024 victory. Newsom's lead among Democrats stems from his prominent California governorship, frequent national media clashes with Trump, and the party's search for a post-Kamala Harris standard-bearer. The razor-thin top odds—under 18%—highlight the market's recognition of profound uncertainty three years out, with 2026 midterms, Trump endorsements, scandals, or polling shifts in swing states poised to create separation among a fragmented field including Marco Rubio and others.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
交易量
$459,419,099结束日期
Nov 7, 2028市场开放时间
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
JD Vance edges Gavin Newsom as the slim trader favorite for the 2028 presidential election, reflecting his elevated profile as vice president in Donald Trump's incoming administration and strong appeal to the Republican base following the 2024 victory. Newsom's lead among Democrats stems from his prominent California governorship, frequent national media clashes with Trump, and the party's search for a post-Kamala Harris standard-bearer. The razor-thin top odds—under 18%—highlight the market's recognition of profound uncertainty three years out, with 2026 midterms, Trump endorsements, scandals, or polling shifts in swing states poised to create separation among a fragmented field including Marco Rubio and others.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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