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江原道省长选举获胜者

Market icon

江原道省长选举获胜者

禹相浩 85%

金振泰 15%

元昌默 <1%

李光宰 <1%

Polymarket

$330,715 交易量

禹相浩 85%

金振泰 15%

元昌默 <1%

李光宰 <1%

Polymarket

$330,715 交易量

金振泰

$15,238 交易量

15%

金完燮

$19,555 交易量

<1%

李哲圭

$118,219 交易量

<1%

权性东

$16,786 交易量

<1%

禹相浩

$33,743 交易量

85%

金道均

$20,912 交易量

<1%

李光宰

$20,430 交易量

<1%

宋基宪

$29,121 交易量

<1%

元昌默

$56,712 交易量

1%

The Gangwon Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Gangwon Province. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Trader consensus heavily favors Woo Sang-ho at 84.5% implied probability to win the Gangwon Province gubernatorial election, reflecting his commanding lead in recent local polls amid the incumbent Kim Jin-tae's (14.5%) sagging approval ratings tied to controversies over provincial development projects and national People Power Party headwinds. A Realmeter survey from late September showed Woo, the Democratic Party frontrunner, ahead by over 20 points in head-to-head matchups, bolstered by strong support in rural and swing districts key to victory under South Korea's first-past-the-post system. Low odds for other candidates like Won Chang-muk and Lee Kwang-jae underscore minimal viable challengers, with no major shifts from primaries or endorsements in the past week. The race awaits formal nominations ahead of the 2026 local elections cycle.

The Gangwon Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Gangwon Province.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
交易量
$330,715
结束日期
Jun 3, 2026
市场开放时间
Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
The Gangwon Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Gangwon Province. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Trader consensus heavily favors Woo Sang-ho at 84.5% implied probability to win the Gangwon Province gubernatorial election, reflecting his commanding lead in recent local polls amid the incumbent Kim Jin-tae's (14.5%) sagging approval ratings tied to controversies over provincial development projects and national People Power Party headwinds. A Realmeter survey from late September showed Woo, the Democratic Party frontrunner, ahead by over 20 points in head-to-head matchups, bolstered by strong support in rural and swing districts key to victory under South Korea's first-past-the-post system. Low odds for other candidates like Won Chang-muk and Lee Kwang-jae underscore minimal viable challengers, with no major shifts from primaries or endorsements in the past week. The race awaits formal nominations ahead of the 2026 local elections cycle.

Trader consensus heavily favors Woo Sang-ho at 84.5% implied probability to win the Gangwon Province gubernatorial election, reflecting his commanding lead in recent local polls amid the incumbent Kim Jin-tae's (14.5%) sagging approval ratings tied to controversies over provincial development projects and national People Power Party headwinds. A Realmeter survey from late September showed Woo, the Democratic Party frontrunner, ahead by over 20 points in head-to-head matchups, bolstered by strong support in rural and swing districts key to victory under South Korea's first-past-the-post system. Low odds for other candidates like Won Chang-muk and Lee Kwang-jae underscore minimal viable challengers, with no major shifts from primaries or endorsements in the past week. The race awaits formal nominations ahead of the 2026 local elections cycle.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"江原道省长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"禹相浩",概率为 85%,其次是"金振泰",概率为 14%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 85¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 85%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"江原道省长选举获胜者"已产生 $330.7K 的总交易量(自Nov 18, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"江原道省长选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"江原道省长选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"禹相浩",概率为 85%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 85%。紧随其后的结果是"金振泰",概率为 14%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"江原道省长选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。