Trader consensus heavily favors Woo Sang-ho at 84.5% implied probability to win the Gangwon Province gubernatorial election, reflecting his commanding lead in recent local polls amid the incumbent Kim Jin-tae's (14.5%) sagging approval ratings tied to controversies over provincial development projects and national People Power Party headwinds. A Realmeter survey from late September showed Woo, the Democratic Party frontrunner, ahead by over 20 points in head-to-head matchups, bolstered by strong support in rural and swing districts key to victory under South Korea's first-past-the-post system. Low odds for other candidates like Won Chang-muk and Lee Kwang-jae underscore minimal viable challengers, with no major shifts from primaries or endorsements in the past week. The race awaits formal nominations ahead of the 2026 local elections cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于禹相浩 85%
金振泰 15%
元昌默 <1%
李光宰 <1%
$330,715 交易量
$330,715 交易量
金振泰
15%
金完燮
<1%
李哲圭
<1%
权性东
<1%
禹相浩
85%
金道均
<1%
李光宰
<1%
宋基宪
<1%
元昌默
1%
禹相浩 85%
金振泰 15%
元昌默 <1%
李光宰 <1%
$330,715 交易量
$330,715 交易量
金振泰
15%
金完燮
<1%
李哲圭
<1%
权性东
<1%
禹相浩
85%
金道均
<1%
李光宰
<1%
宋基宪
<1%
元昌默
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
市场开放时间: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Woo Sang-ho at 84.5% implied probability to win the Gangwon Province gubernatorial election, reflecting his commanding lead in recent local polls amid the incumbent Kim Jin-tae's (14.5%) sagging approval ratings tied to controversies over provincial development projects and national People Power Party headwinds. A Realmeter survey from late September showed Woo, the Democratic Party frontrunner, ahead by over 20 points in head-to-head matchups, bolstered by strong support in rural and swing districts key to victory under South Korea's first-past-the-post system. Low odds for other candidates like Won Chang-muk and Lee Kwang-jae underscore minimal viable challengers, with no major shifts from primaries or endorsements in the past week. The race awaits formal nominations ahead of the 2026 local elections cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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