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葡萄牙总统选举:第一轮第二名

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葡萄牙总统选举:第一轮第二名

安德烈·文图拉(CH) 100.0%

蒂姆·维埃拉(无党派) <1%

安德烈·佩斯塔纳(无党籍) <1%

奥兰多·克鲁兹(无党籍) <1%

Polymarket

$1,566,637 交易量

安德烈·文图拉(CH) 100.0%

蒂姆·维埃拉(无党派) <1%

安德烈·佩斯塔纳(无党籍) <1%

奥兰多·克鲁兹(无党籍) <1%

Polymarket

$1,566,637 交易量

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蒂姆·维埃拉(无党派)

$59,603 交易量

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安德烈·佩斯塔纳(无党籍)

$154,213 交易量

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奥兰多·克鲁兹(无党籍)

$69,389 交易量

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玛努埃拉·马格诺(无党籍)

$48,791 交易量

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佩德罗·蒂诺科·德·法里亚(无党籍)

$43,035 交易量

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安东尼奥·若泽·塞古罗(无党籍)

$91,092 交易量

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Ângela Maryah(无党籍)

$45,696 交易量

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劳尔·佩雷斯特雷洛(无党籍)

$37,114 交易量

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佩德罗·帕索斯·科埃略(社会民主党)

$34,349 交易量

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若昂·科特林·菲格雷多(自由倡议党)

$173,338 交易量

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保罗·波尔塔斯(CDS)

$36,432 交易量

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Manuel João Vieira

$25,290 交易量

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乔安娜·阿马拉尔·迪亚斯(ADN)

$53,054 交易量

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安德烈·文图拉(CH)

$117,157 交易量

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阿里斯蒂德斯·特谢拉(无党籍)

$37,859 交易量

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路易斯·马尔克斯·门德斯(社会民主党)

$73,225 交易量

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Henrique Gouveia e Melo(无党派)

$57,033 交易量

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维托里诺·席尔瓦(无党籍)

$39,742 交易量

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安东尼奥·菲利佩(葡共)

$69,691 交易量

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若泽·卡多索(PLS)

$43,656 交易量

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若热·平托

$117,873 交易量

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鲁伊·莫雷拉(无党籍)

$49,730 交易量

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卡塔丽娜·马丁斯(左翼集团)

$60,173 交易量

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Humberto Correia

$29,101 交易量

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the second-highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
交易量
$1,566,637
结束日期
Jan 18, 2026
市场开放时间
Dec 3, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the second-highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"葡萄牙总统选举:第一轮第二名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "安德烈·文图拉(CH)" at 100%, followed by "蒂姆·维埃拉(无党派)" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "葡萄牙总统选举:第一轮第二名" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 3, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "葡萄牙总统选举:第一轮第二名," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "葡萄牙总统选举:第一轮第二名" is "安德烈·文图拉(CH)" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "蒂姆·维埃拉(无党派)" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "葡萄牙总统选举:第一轮第二名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.