Trader consensus in the Oklahoma Republican Senate primary heavily favors U.S. Rep. Kevin Hern at 88% implied probability, reflecting his strong fundraising edge, incumbency in a safe district, and statewide name recognition among GOP voters. Other contenders like Rep. Stephanie Bice and Sen. Markwayne Mullin linger at 2.3% each, hampered by narrower bases and less aggressive campaigning. Recent polling aggregates show Hern leading hypothetical matchups by wide margins, bolstered by key endorsements from state party leaders. Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell and others remain longshots amid low visibility. Filing deadlines in April could introduce volatility, but current pricing underscores Hern's dominant position absent major disruptions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于凯文·赫恩 88%
Markwayne Mullin 2.3%
斯蒂芬妮·比斯 2.1%
Ron Meinhardt 1.8%
$36,777 交易量
$36,777 交易量
Jun 16, 2026
凯文·赫恩
88%
Markwayne Mullin
2%
斯蒂芬妮·比斯
2%
Ron Meinhardt
2%
塔米·斯韦尔根
2%
韦恩·朗尼·华盛顿
1%
Donelle Harder
1%
尼克·汉金斯
1%
马特·皮内尔
1%
约翰·M·奥康纳
1%
凯文·赫恩 88%
Markwayne Mullin 2.3%
斯蒂芬妮·比斯 2.1%
Ron Meinhardt 1.8%
$36,777 交易量
$36,777 交易量
Jun 16, 2026
凯文·赫恩
$0 交易量
88%
Markwayne Mullin
$36,289 交易量
2%
斯蒂芬妮·比斯
$0 交易量
2%
Ron Meinhardt
$0 交易量
2%
塔米·斯韦尔根
$0 交易量
2%
韦恩·朗尼·华盛顿
$0 交易量
1%
Donelle Harder
$0 交易量
1%
尼克·汉金斯
$0 交易量
1%
马特·皮内尔
$0 交易量
1%
约翰·M·奥康纳
$487 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间： Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
交易量
$36,777结束日期
Jun 16, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$36,777结束日期
Jun 16, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Oklahoma Republican Senate primary heavily favors U.S. Rep. Kevin Hern at 88% implied probability, reflecting his strong fundraising edge, incumbency in a safe district, and statewide name recognition among GOP voters. Other contenders like Rep. Stephanie Bice and Sen. Markwayne Mullin linger at 2.3% each, hampered by narrower bases and less aggressive campaigning. Recent polling aggregates show Hern leading hypothetical matchups by wide margins, bolstered by key endorsements from state party leaders. Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell and others remain longshots amid low visibility. Filing deadlines in April could introduce volatility, but current pricing underscores Hern's dominant position absent major disruptions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题